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KINUGASA Tomoko
Center for Social Systems Innovation
Professor

Researcher basic information

■ Research news
■ Research Keyword
  • Agricultural policy
  • Population policy
■ Research Areas
  • Humanities & social sciences / Economic policy
■ Committee History
  • May 2025 - Present, 日本経済政策学会, 副会長
  • May 2022 - Present, 日本経済政策学会, 常務理事
  • Apr. 2021 - Present, 兵庫県農林水産政策審議会委員
  • 2016 - Present, 日本経済政策学会, 国際会議プログラム委員
  • 2018 - Mar. 2024, 兵庫県史執筆者
  • May 2022 - May 2023, 日本経済政策学会国際会議, 運営委員長
  • Jun. 2021 - Jun. 2022, 日本人口学会, 大会運営委員
  • May 2016 - May 2022, 日本経済政策学会, 本部幹事

Research activity information

■ Award
  • Mar. 2017 一般財団法人 村尾育英会, 第３４回村尾育英会学術賞, 人口減少時代の持続可能な地域経済
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Publisher

  • 2016 地域農林経済学会, 地域農林経済学会賞, Yamaguchi, Mitoshi and Kinugasa, Tomoko, Economic Analyses Using the Overlapping Generations Model and General Equilibrium Growth Accounting for the Japanese Economy: Population, Agriculture and Economic Development, World Scientific, 2014.
    山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Japan society

  • 2013 神戸大学大学教育推進機構, 全学共通教育ベストティーチャー賞, 現代の経済（グローバル共通科目）
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Others

  • 2013 Social Science Research Council, 安倍フェローシップ, Population Aging, Education and Economic Growth: Comparative Research between Japan and the United States
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Publisher

■ Paper
  • 豊澤圭, 衣笠智子, 衛藤彬史, 安田公治
    Mar. 2024, 帝塚山経済・経営論集, 34, 1 - 11

  • Koji Yasuda, Tomoko Kinugasa, Shigeyuki Hamori, Kazufumi Yugami, Kouhei Masumoto
    Springer Science and Business Media LLC, Mar. 2024, International Journal of Economic Policy Studies
    Scientific journal

  • Tomoko Kinugasa, Kouhei Masumoto, Koji Yasuda, Kazufumi Yugami, Shigeyuki Hamori
    Informa UK Limited, 2024, Applied Economics, 56(44) (44), 5225 - 5237
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 日本における農業と失業の因果関係に関する計量研究
    衣笠智子, 安田公治
    Lead, Sep. 2023, 国民経済雑誌, 225(5) (5), 87 - 100

  • Kei Toyozawa, Tomoko Kinugasa, Yoichi Matsubayashi
    Purpose This study aims to focus on the influence of industrial structure changes, which is the fundamental idea of the Kuznets hypothesis, especially the service–knowledge structural change, on income inequality. Design/methodology/approach This analysis uses the interaction term is that industrial structure changes multiplied by period dummy, this study indicates the effect of industrial structure changes on inequality from the 1970s. Using this method, this study reveals the impact of transitions in industrial structure, from agriculture to knowledge, on inequality. Findings Empirical analysis reveals a Kuznets curve relationship between income inequality and the agriculture–manufacturing structural change before the 1970s. From the 1980s to the 2000s, “The Great U-Turn,” which refers to events that expanded economic inequalities again, is observed in the relationship between inequality and the manufacturing–service structural change. Moreover, the service–knowledge structural change effect on inequality after the 2010s, through the Kuznets curve relationship. Therefore, this study confirms the Kuznets hypothesis is not a thing of the past hypothesis. Originality/value This study shows why income inequality in organisation for economic co-operation and development (OECD) countries has continued to increase in these days. Specifically, this study focuses on the impact of industrial structure changes and long-term trends, which has not been fully discussed in recent studies. The authors perform empirical analysis based on the relationship between these changes and inequality in developed countries. In addition, by setting a period dummy variable every decade, this study visualizes the transition of industrial structure changes in OECD clearly.
    Emerald, Mar. 2023, International Journal of Development Issues, 22(1) (1)
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • KINUGASA Tomoko, TOYOZAWA Kei, FUJIOKA Yoshihide, YAMAOKA Atsushi, TAMURA Minoru
    In Japan mountainous areas’ population aging is more pronounced than in urban areas. Therefore, supporting community sustainability through health maintenance is critical. This study examines whether participating in community events leads to subjective health. We focused on the Yamanouchi area of Yumesaki-cho, Himeji City, Hyogo Prefecture, which is mountainous area and where population aging and depopulation is serious. With the theme of “town development for longevity and health,” multiple universities are participating in practical research projects in this area, such as a new health checkup, “Health Checkup Project through adding points to Goodness in Daily Life.” We hypothesized that joining community events actively and concerning to have connections with people outside their area, such as university students, lead good health. In 2019 and 2021, we conducted questionnaire surveys targeting all households in the Yamanouchi area and clarified the effects of joining community events and knowing local events related to university students on subjective health. We consider the endogeneity of variables related to events and conducted empirical analysis based on extended ordered probit model. Our empirical results supported our hypothesis. We found that inhabitants who join more community events or those who know of more events with university students tend to evaluate their health more favorably, and the effects were statistically significant. Thus, we deduce that actively planning community events will be beneficial for inhabitants’ health in the area. In addition, it is possible that university students’ participation in community development is effective for inhabitants’ health. In the mountainous areas where the population is decreasing, continuing community events could prove difficult, but it would be important to consider their impact on health and encourage various events as far as possible.
    Population Association of Japan, 2023, The Journal of Population Studies, 59, 24 - 40, Japanese
    [Refereed]

  • 「夢前花街道事業」との連携による「加点式健診事業」 : 文理融合・異分野共創による地域活性化事業報告書
    藤岡秀英, 衣笠智子, 山岡淳 田村穂
    Feb. 2022, 国民経済雑誌, 225(2) (2), 79 - 92, Japanese
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • Yihua Wang, Tomoko Kinugasa
    Springer Science and Business Media LLC, Feb. 2022, International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, 16(1) (1), 43 - 65
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Akifumi Eto, Tomoko Kinugasa, Koji Yasuda

    This study aims to grasp the characteristics of 11 companies that embarked on agricultural business in Yabu, Hyogo, Japan, and to illuminate the requirements that enabled them to accumulate agricultural land. We analyze the relationship between type of business or scale of business and the size of cultivated area or intention to expand cultivated area in 11 companies interviewed in 2019. The results show that their selection of farm location was related to their potential to expand the scale of their farmlands after embarking on agricultural business. This study concludes that the requirement for a corporation's entry and expansion of their area of operation after entering is that their type of farming be paddy rice, and the requirement for further scaling up of large-scale farm operations is the cooperation of the residents in maintenance work such as levee weeding.

    The Association for Regional Agricultural and Forestry Economics, Dec. 2021, Journal of Rural Problems, 57(4) (4), 144 - 151, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Yukio Fukumoto, Tomoko Kinugasa
    Informa UK Limited, Nov. 2021, Applied Economics Letters, 28(20) (20), 1772 - 1776
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Kinugasa Tomoko, Eto Akifumi, Yasuda Koji, Toyozawa Kei

    The use of IT is one of the most important strategies for the future of agriculture. In Yabu City in Hyogo prefecture, not many, but some private farmers are interested in it. We analyze the determinants of IT use and willingness of farmers to pay for IT in agricultural management, using the farm household data of Yabu City. Our empirical results based on ordered probit and Tobit models find that the number of days engaged in agriculture, intention of machine renewal, having PCs, smartphones, and mobile phones, and agricultural income have positive correlations and older age has negative correlations with IT use and willingness to pay for IT. Farmers who know what companies of the National Strategic Special Zone in Yabu City do are willing to spend more money on IT. Moreover, a sense of fulfillment with agriculture increases IT use and willingness to pay for IT. However, feeling worth living does not do significantly.

    The Association for Regional Agricultural and Forestry Economics, 2021, Journal of Rural Problems, 57(2) (2), 46 - 52, Japanese

  • Preparation determinants for migration to rural areas in Japan: empirical analysis using questionnaire data
    Etsusaku Shimada, Tomoko Kinugasa
    Corresponding, Jan. 2021, International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, 15, 55 - 74
    [Refereed]

  • 養父市の国家戦略特区の農業および経済に対する効果ー統計データ・実績・取引業者への聞き取り調査に基づいて―
    衣笠智子, 衛藤彬史, 安田公治, 豊澤圭
    神戸大学経済経営学会, Dec. 2020, 国民経済雑誌, 222(6) (6), 23 - 37, Japanese

  • 山岡 淳, 田村 穂, 衣笠 智子, 藤岡 秀英
    今日の日本では地方創生を掲げ中央政府や地方自治体，そして集落レベルでの様々な地域振興が行われている。本研究は中山間の限界集落である姫路市夢前町山之内地区を対象とした。全戸アンケート調査と集落訪問調査を行ったうえで，当該地域における現在までの経済社会の変遷，現在の人口構成から考えられる将来の地域課題，民間事業者が中心となって行っている「夢前花街道事業」の成果，こうした課題や活動を反映したうえでの地域住民による山之内地区の将来の展望を示した。
    神戸大学経済経営学会, Oct. 2020, 国民経済雑誌, 222(4) (4), 43 - 58, Japanese

  • Dynamic Efficiency in World Economy
    Kevin Luo, Tomoko Kinugasa, Kai Kajitani
    Oct. 2020, 29(5) (5), 522 - 544, English
    [Refereed]
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • Do Natural Disasters Influence Long-Term Savings?: Assessing the Impact of the 2008 Sichuan Earthquake on Household Saving Rates Using Synthetic Control
    Luo, Kevin, Kinugasa, Tomoko
    Corresponding, Aug. 2020, China: An International Journal, 18(3) (3), 59 - 81, English
    [Refereed]

  • 二つの人口ボーナスの貯蓄と経済成長への影響に関する計量的研究
    衣笠智子
    Mar. 2020, 国民経済雑誌, 221(3) (3), 17 - 28

  • Challenges for China’s economic development: the saving glut and policy implication
    Kevin Luo, Tomoko Kinugasa
    Jan. 2020, International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, 14(1) (1), 44 - 75, English
    [Refereed]

  • 温州みかんの栄枯盛衰に関する計量的分析
    松尾隆策, 山口三十四, 衣笠智子
    Sep. 2019, 国民経済雑誌, 220(3) (3), 75 - 87

  • 日本農業の技術効率性と過剰投入に関する地域別分析―DEAおよびクラスカル・ワリス検定を用いた計量的研究
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, 髙松 良樹
    Apr. 2018, 国民経済雑誌, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • 市町村の人口と財政支出に関する計量的考察
    岡田 修一, KINUGASA TOMOKO, 山口 三十四
    2018, 経済政策ジャーナル, 13(1,2) (1,2), Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Tomoko Kinugasa
    Taylor and Francis, Dec. 2017, Routledge Handbook of Asian Demography, 456 - 471, English
    [Refereed]
    In book

  • Yukio Fukumoto, Tomoko Kinugasa
    This study focuses on the relationship between age structure and trade openness. We hypothesise that a higher share of the working-age population in the total population increases trade openness, because the dependent population tends to spend more than the working-age population on non-tradable goods such as education and medical services. We estimate the effects of age structure on trade openness using panel data for 85 countries from 1991 to 2010. The empirical results show that the share of the working-age population has a positive effect on trade openness. An increase in the share of the working-age population is considered to be one factor that contributed to an increase in trade openness in the sample period.
    WILEY, Jun. 2017, WORLD ECONOMY, 40(6) (6), 1247 - 1263, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 中国における畜産物生産の地域区分と技術効率性ークラスター分析および確率的フロンティア生産関数分析による実証的研究
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, 姚万軍
    神戸大学経済経営学会, May 2017, 国民経済雑誌, 215(5) (5), 79 - 92, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • An Empirical Analysis of Marital Status in Japan
    Koji Yasuda, KINUGASA TOMOKO, Shigeyuki Hamori
    2017, Singapore Economic Review, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Econometric Analysis for the Disaster Prevention Function of the Roadside Stations, Whose Sales Include food
    松尾 隆策, 山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    神戸大学経済経営学会, Nov. 2016, 国民経済雑誌, 214(5) (5), 17 - 27, Japanese
    Research institution

  • 日本における農業発展と農協
    中下 正綱, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Kobe University, May 2016, 国民経済雑誌, 213(5) (5), 81 - 92, Japanese
    Research institution

  • 日本の農業政策の展望
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    2016, Discussion Paper, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Japanese
    Research society

  • 道の駅の歴史的展開
    松尾 隆策, 山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    2016, Discussion Paper, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Japanese
    Research society

  • 道の駅の理論的背景
    松尾 隆策, 山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    2016, Discussion Paper, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Japanese
    Research society

  • An Empirical Analysis of Marital Status in Japan
    Koji Yasuda, KINUGASA TOMOKO, Shigeyuki Hamori
    2015, Paper Presented at the Singapore Economic Review Conference, English
    Symposium

  • Wanjun Yao, Han Wu, Tomoko Kinugasa
    In this study, we test for convergence in financial development and economic growth in China's financial deepening reform process by using system GMM method. The results show strong evidence of the mutually interactive and systematic relationship between financial development and economic growth, and the system is in a condition of long-run divergence. The main cause of divergence in the system changed after 2008 from financial depression to asset price expansion. This study provides evidence that the government should intensify financial deepening reforms and pay attention to financial resource flows to prevent excessive asset price expansion.
    ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2015, EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, 51, S275 - S284, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 日本における農業予算と農業生産構造ー都道府県データを用いた計量的研究ー
    耿 業涵, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Kobe University, Dec. 2014, 国民経済雑誌, 210(6) (6), 49 - 58, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • Depopulation and importance of agriculture in Japan: implications from the overlapping generations and general equilibrium growth accounting model
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, YAMAGUCHI MITOSHI
    Dec. 2013, Economics & Finance Research, 1, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • KINUGASA TOMOKO, 山口 三十四, 中川 雅嗣
    Nose town is located in Osaka city's suburbs, but most of the area is mountainous; agriculture is its main industry. Promoting rural-urban interchanges is one of the most important agendas in the town's development plan. We executed questionnaires among farmers in Nose town and empirically analyzed the characteristics of farmers who would like to be involved in rural-urban interchanges. According to our results, farmers who look forward to the institute for promoting agricultural land accumulation, those who are interested in local-branded crops, and those who often sell crops at the Roadside Station (Michi no Eki) are interested in rural-urban interchanges. Sale destinations other than the Roadside Station and basic farm characteristics such as size of farmland, age, share of nonagricultural income, and share of rented farmland were found to have no statistically significant effects on the motivation to get involved in rural-urban interchanges. It would be beneficial for highly motivated agricultural farmers to gather and discuss, in a comprehensive manner, various kinds of agricultural policy.
    The Association for Regional Agricultural and Forestry Economics, 2013, 農林業問題研究, 49(1) (1), 76 - 81, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Wanjun Yao, Tomoko Kinugasa, Shigeyuki Hamori
    China has experienced a dramatic demographic transition since the latter half of the twentieth century, and thus, assessing the global economic implications is an important issue. This article uses time-series data on China to estimate the determinants of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. According to the results of the presented co-integration analysis, population has a significantly negative impact on GDP per capita, while savings rate, total factor productivity and degree of industrialization have significantly positive impacts on GDP per capita. These results suggest that the share of the working-age population relative to the total population does not have a strong influence on GDP per capita. Therefore, the contribution of the working-age population to economic growth might not be as large as previously assumed. It is also possible that an increase in savings, remarkable industrialization and rapid technological progress have all stimulated economic growth in China greatly. © 2013 Taylor and Francis.
    2013, Applied Economics, 45(33) (33), 4651 - 4661, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko
    The purpose of this paper was to measure the technical efficiency of wheat in Japan using stochastic frontier analysis of samples from different prefectures during the period between 1987 and 2008, and to investigatewhether the technical efficiency of Japan's wheat production from these different regions converges.We found that the technical efficiency of wheat in Japan showed a tendency to decrease.Three kinds of panel unit root tests implied that technical efficiency tended to converge in each region.
    The Association for Regional Agricultural and Forestry Economics, Sep. 2012, Journal of Rural Problems, 48(2) (2), 285 - 290, Japanese

  • 日本小麦の全要素生産性とその収束―パネル単位根検定を用いた計量分析
    NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi
    Kobe University, May 2012, 国民経済雑誌, 第205巻第5号(5) (5), 69 - 80, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • The International Transmission of Price Levels during the Classical Gold Standard Period: Evidence from the UK and the US
    FUKUMOTO Yukio, KINUGASA Tomoko
    2012, EconModels, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 中国内モンゴルにおける畜産物生産成長の要因分析
    Wanjun Yao, Mitoshi Yamaguchi, Tomoko Kinugasa
    Kobe University, 2011, 国民経済雑誌, 第203巻第5号(5) (5), 49 - 62, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • 日本農業の技術効率性と収束--マルムクイスト指数およびパネル単位根検定を用いた計量的研究
    TAKAMATU Yoshiki, KINUGASA Tomoko
    日本経済政策学会, 2010, 経済政策ジャーナル, 第7巻第1号(1) (1), 49 - 67, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 日本の都道府県別食料自給率の決定と農業生産構造
    YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko
    本稿では、本間〔20〕や速水〔16〕が農業保護分析で用いた変数を参考に、都道府県の食料自給率の決定要因について、変数間の相互依存関係を考慮し（先行研究として、米国農務省のGrainモデル（USDA〔4〕）やGolモデル（USDA〔5〕）等を参照に作成した）、10内生変数と10外生変数の相互依存性を考慮して、同時方程式を用いて計量的に分析することにする．
    富民協会, 2010, 農林業問題研究, 第46巻第3号(3) (3), 313 - 324, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • 中国内モンゴルにおける生態移民の農家所得と効率性
    ONIKI Shunji, KAGATSUME Masaru, XI Shuang, GEN Suo, KINUGASA Tomoko
    国際開発学会, 2010, 国際開発研究, 第19号第2巻(2) (2), 87 - 100, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係 : 兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究
    Shuichi Okada, Tomoko Kinugasa, Mitoshi Yamaguchi
    Kobe University, 2010, 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係 : 兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究, 第202巻第5号(5) (5), 93 - 107, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係 : 兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究
    OKADA Shuichi, KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi
    Kobe University, 2010, 国民経済雑誌, 第202巻第5号(5) (5), 93 - 107, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • Andrew Mason, Tomoko Kinugasa
    Countries throughout the world are experiencing changes in their population age structure, but they are particularly rapid in East Asia. During the last part of the 20th Century the region benefited from an increased concentration of population in the working ages. Population aging is now the increasing rapidly with potentially adverse economic effects. The evidence presented here shows that population aging can lead to a second demographic dividend because population aging may lead to rapid capital accumulation. This appears to have occurred in East Asia because public support systems for the elderly are smaller and because family support systems are in decline. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
    Nov. 2008, Journal of Asian Economics, 19(5-6) (5-6), 389 - 399, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi
    This research analyzed the effects of demographic change on industrial structure in terms of capital accumulation, revealing that demographic change considerably affects capital accumulation, which plays an important role in transforming the industrial structure. We combined the overlapping generations model formulated by Kinugasa and Mason (2007) and the general equilibrium growth accounting model of Yamaguchi (1973, 1982, 2001)for simulating the effects of demographic change on agricultural and nonagricultural outputs, labor, and capital.The effect of demographic change,particularly changes in the number of children,adult longevity,and child survival rate,on capital growth was analyzed using the overlapping generations model. Further, we investigated the effect of capital growth on agricultural and non-agricultural outputs and inputs using the general equilibrium growth accounting model. The present study's simulation analysis conducted using Japanese data revealed that a rapid decline in the number of children and a rapid increase in adult longevity stimulated capital accumulation and increased the importance of nonagricultural constituents from the 1960s to the 1990s. Simulated capital growth not only increased non-agricultural output and capital to a greater extent than it did the corresponding agricultural constituents, and increased non-agricultural labor and decreased agricultural labor.In recent years,there has been a decrease in the working age population,which comprises people whose savings are normally higher than those of the other generations though the adult longevity in Japan had moderately increased ; hence,we cannot expect a rapid increase in aggregate capital in the future. Therefore, the advantages of the nonagricultural sector in Japan could disappear, and agriculture could become increasingly important in the near future.
    Population Association of Japan, 2008, The Journal of Population Studies, 42, 21 - 40, English

  • Tomoko Kinugasa, Wei Huang, Mitoshi Yamaguchi
    Emerald Group Publishing Ltd., 2007, Contributions to Economic Analysis, 281, 99 - 131, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • 兼業化・規模拡大と日本農業成長―同時方程式による実証研究
    Kinugasa Tomoko
    2007, 農林業問題研究, 掲載予定, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Tomoko Kinugasa, Andrew Mason
    We analyze steady-state and out-of-steady-state effects of the transition in adult longevity on the national saving rate using historical data and international panel data. The rise in adult life expectancy has a large and statistically significant effect on aggregate saving. The effects have been especially pronounced in East Asia because its mortality transition was very rapid. Gains in life expectancy are much more important than declines in child dependency. Population aging may not lead to lower saving rates in the future if life expectancy and the duration of retirement continue to increase. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
    PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, Jan. 2007, WORLD DEVELOPMENT, 35(1) (1), 1 - 23, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • KINUGASA Tomoko
    Population Association of Japan, 2006, The Journal of Population Studies, 39, 80 - 82, Japanese

  • Kinugasa Tomoko
    神戸大学大学院経済学研究科 / 神戸大学経済学部, 2006, 経済学研究, 掲載予定, 87 - 106, Japanese
    Scientific journal
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • Kinugasa Tomoko
    Kobe University, 2006, 国民経済雑誌, 第194巻第3号、2006年、pp.57-74(3) (3), 57 - 74, Japanese
    Scientific journal
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • 寿命による退職行動の変化および国民貯蓄率に対する影響
    衣笠 智子
    Kobe University, Dec. 2004, 国民経済雑誌, 90巻第6号(6) (6), 93 - 115, Japanese
    Scientific journal

  • 人口諸変数の経済成長に対する貢献―都道府県データによる実証研究―
    Kinugasa Tomoko
    Kobe University, Oct. 2002, 国民経済雑誌, 第186巻第4号 pp.95-108(4) (4), 95 - 108, Japanese
    Scientific journal

■ MISC
  • 韓国における農業の特徴および農地政策の変遷
    豊澤圭, 王軼華, 衣笠智子, 安田公治, 衛藤彬史
    Jan. 2025, Discussion Paper (神戸大学経済学研究科）, (2501) (2501)

  • 農家の IT 利用をどう進めていくか―兵庫県養父市の農家アンケートに基づいて―
    衣笠智子
    Lead, Nov. 2022, 農業, 46 - 51

  • 兵庫県姫路市山之内地区における住民の健康の決定要因
    衣笠智子, 豊澤圭, 藤岡秀英, 山岡淳, 田村穂
    Lead, Mar. 2021, Discussion Paper (神戸大学経済学研究科）, (2111) (2111)
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • 養父市の国家戦略特区の効果の検証
    衣笠智子, 衛藤彬史, 安田公治
    Lead, May 2020, Discussion Paper（神戸大学経済学研究科）, (2006) (2006)
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • 養父市の国家戦略特区の効果の検証に関する報告書
    衣笠智子, 衛藤彬史, 安田公治
    Mar. 2020, 養父市

  • 人口減少の原因と経済への影響および対策について
    衣笠智子
    Nov. 2019, オムニ・マネジメント

  • 温州みかんの需給に関する計量的分析―温州みかんの栄枯盛衰―
    松尾隆策、山口三十四、衣笠智子
    2019, Discussion Paper、神戸大学大学院経済学研究科

  • 経済政策論の知識を活かして―能勢町との協力型共同研究の経験
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    神戸大学, 2016, 経済学・経営学学習のために, 2016, 11 - 17, Japanese
    Report research institution

  • Age Structure and Trade Openness: An Empirical Investigation
    Yukio Fukumoto, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Jun. 2015, East-West Center Working Papers: Environment, Population, and Health Series, (7) (7), English
    Others

  • Mitoshi Yamaguchi, Tomoko Kinugasa
    This unique book contains novel and in-depth research regarding economic development in Japan. The authors examine economic development in Japan from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. Using general equilibrium growth accounting and the overlapping generations model, they analyze the relationships between population, agriculture and the economy. The research results are unprecedented and show the effects of increased adult longevity on national savings and the effects of demographic change on the industrial structure the push-pull effects of technical change in agricultural and non-agricultural sectors and the positive effects of population on technical change and economic development.
    World Scientific Publishing Co., 01 Jan. 2014, Economic Analyses Using the Overlapping Generations Model and General Equilibrium Growth Accounting for the Japanese Economy: Population, Agriculture and Economic Development, 1 - 338, English
    Others

  • 人口ボーナスの貯蓄及び経済成長に対する影響 (特集 人口の経済及び地方財政への影響)
    衣笠 智子
    統計情報研究開発センター, Mar. 2013, Estrela, (228) (228), 9 - 14, Japanese

  • Characteristics of Agriculture in Jaoanese Regions and Convergence: An Empirical Analysis Using Panel Unit Root Test
    Kinugasa Tomoko, Fukumoto Yukio
    Kobe University, 2013, Kobe University economic review, 59, 25 - 35, English
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • 人口と経済に関する一考察―年齢構成の重要性と一般均衡的成長会計分析モデル
    KINUGASA Tomoko
    神戸大学, Oct. 2012, 学習のために, 平成24年度後期号、pp.63-72, 63 - 72, Japanese
    Others

  • KINUGASA Tomoko
    Population Association of Japan, May 2011, 人口学研究, 第47号, 63 - 66, Japanese
    Others

  • 日本の人口動態と経済成
    KINUGASA Tomoko
    2010, 国際問題, No.593, Japanese
    Introduction scientific journal

  • An Empirical Analysis on Human Capital, Economy, and Society in China
    Huang Wei, Kinugasa Tomoko, Yamaguchi Mitoshi
    Kobe University, Jun. 2008, Journal of economics and business administration, 197(6) (6), 85 - 100, Japanese

  • Contribution of Demographic Variables to Economic Growth in Taiwan
    Hsieh Yuching, Kinugasa Tomoko, Yamaguchi Mitoshi
    Kobe University, Oct. 2007, Journal of economics and business administration, 196(4) (4), 73 - 84, Japanese

  • グローバリゼーション下の農業の研究に関する今後の展望
    衣笠 智子
    25 Mar. 2006, 農林業問題研究, 41(4) (4), 375 - 375, Japanese

  • Life Expectancy, Labor Force and Saving (Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Hawaii, USA)
    衣笠 智子
    2004, 未記入, 未記入, English
    Others

  • Emprical Analysis on Survival of Japanese Agriculture
    Kinugasa Tomoko
    Kobe University, Jul. 2000, The Rokkodai ronshu. Keizaigaku-hen, 47(2) (2), 79 - 98, English

■ Books And Other Publications
  • 兵庫県史～この50年の歩み 第4巻
    衣笠智子
    Contributor, 第四編第三章第二節 二一世紀における兵庫の農林水産業, Mar. 2024

  • 兵庫県史～この50年の歩み 第3巻
    衣笠智子
    Contributor, 第三編第四章第二節 阪神・淡路大震災とその後の農林水産業, Mar. 2024

  • 少子高齢化と農業および経済発展 : 世代重複モデルを用いた理論的計量的研究
    衣笠, 智子
    勁草書房, Jan. 2024, Japanese, ISBN: 9784326546480

  • 兵庫県史～この50年の歩み 第２巻
    衣笠智子
    Contributor, 第二編第二章二節 グローバリゼーションと農林水産業, 兵庫県, Mar. 2023

  • 兵庫県史～この50年の歩み 第１巻
    衣笠智子
    Contributor, 第一編第二章第二節 高度経済成長と農林水産業, 兵庫県, Mar. 2023

  • 新しい農業経済論ーマクロ・ミクロ経済学とその応用ー
    山口三十四, 衣笠智子, 中川雅嗣
    有斐閣, 2020

  • Economic Growth and Transition of Industrial Structure in East Asia
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, Linhui Yu, Qiang Chen, Zhixuan Feng
    Joint work, Springer, 2018, English
    Dictionary or encycropedia

  • セオリー&プラクティス 経済政策 (第７章 農業政策）
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Others, 有斐閣, Mar. 2017, Japanese
    Textbook

  • Routledge Handbook of Asian Demography
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Others, Routledge, 2017, English
    Scholarly book

  • Economic Analyses Using the Overlapping Generations Model and General Equilibrium Growth Accounting for the Japanese Economy: Population, Agriculture and Economic Development
    YAMAGUCHI MITOSHI, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Joint work, World Scientific, May 2014, English
    Scholarly book

  • 能勢町における農業振興に関する調査研究 最終報告書
    YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, KINUGASA Tomoko, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu
    Joint work, 大阪府豊能郡能勢町, Mar. 2012, Japanese
    Report

  • ハンドブック経済学（第13章 人口政策）
    Tomoko Kinugasa
    Joint work, ミネルヴァ書房, 2011, Japanese
    Textbook

■ Lectures, oral presentations, etc.
  • 企業立地の決定要因―企業アンケート結果からのヒント
    衣笠智子, 三古展弘
    KUSSIゼミナール2024, Mar. 2025

  • よいとこ健診と地域活性化
    衣笠智子
    神戸大学ウェルビーイング先端研究センターシンポジウム, Feb. 2025

  • 少子高齢化と農業および経済発展
    衣笠智子
    人口学研究会, Nov. 2024

  • 神戸市農業のイノベーション促進要因の探求 ーIT導入と6次産業化に注目してー
    衣笠智子
    大学発アーバンイノベーション神戸成果報告会, Feb. 2023
    Public discourse

  • 日本における新型コロナウイルス流行の主観的死亡率と貯蓄に対する影響 ―アンケート調査に基づく研究―
    Tomoko Kinugasa
    第７回北京外国語大学・神戸大学国際共同研究拠点シンポジウム, Dec. 2022, Japanese
    Public discourse

  • The effect of change in subjective mortality due to COVID-19 on saving in Japan
    Tomoko Kinugasa
    The 7th Annual International Conference on Applied Economics in Hawaii, Nov. 2022, English
    Public discourse

  • 中山間地域における農家の農業規 模と継続に関する意向 －兵庫県養 父市の農家調査に基づく計量的考察－
    安田公治, 衣笠智子, 衛藤彬史
    第７２回地域農林経済学会大会, Oct. 2022

  • 姫路市山之内地区における地域行事参加と住民の健康 ―2019・2021年の住民アンケートに基づく計量的研究―
    衣笠智子, 豊澤圭, 藤岡秀英, 山岡淳, 田村穂
    日本経済政策学会 第79回全国大会, May 2022

  • The effect of change in subjective mortality due to COVID-19 on saving in Japan
    衣笠智子, 増本康平, 安田公治, 勇上和史, 羽森茂之
    日本人口学会関西地域部会, Mar. 2022
    Oral presentation

  • 養父市における国家戦略特区の効果の検証と今後の展望
    衣笠智子, 衛藤彬史, 安田公治
    六甲フォーラム, Feb. 2022

  • Changes in subjective mortality expectations and saving during COVID-19 pandemic: Empirical analysis using questionnaire data in Japan
    Tomoko Kinugasa, Kohei Masumoto, Koji yasuda, Kazufumi Yugami, Shigeyuki Hamori
    2021 International Population Conference, International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Dec. 2021
    Poster presentation

  • 中山間地域におけるソーシャル・キャピタルと住民の健康―兵 庫県姫路市山之内地区の住民アンケートに基づく計量研究―
    衣笠智子, 豊澤圭, 藤岡秀英, 山岡厚, 田村穂
    日本人口学会第７３回大会, Jun. 2021
    Oral presentation

  • 中山間地域におけるソーシャル・キャピタルと住民の健康ー兵庫県姫路市山之内地区の住民アンケートに基づく計量研究ー
    衣笠智子, 豊澤圭, 藤岡秀英, 山岡淳, 田村穂
    六甲フォーラム, May 2021

  • The Effect of Industrial Structure Changes on Inequality: Re-evaluation of the Kuznets Curve
    Kei Toyozawa, Tomoko Kinugasa, Yoichi Matsubayashi
    Western Economic Association International Virtual International Conference, Mar. 2021

  • 寿命の貯蓄に対する影響に関する経済学的考察-新型コロナウィルスの影響についてのインプリケーション-
    衣笠智子
    六甲フォーラム, Nov. 2020
    Public discourse

  • The Relationship between Demographic Change and House Price:Chinese Evidence
    Yihua WANG, Tomoko KINUGASA
    The 19th International Conference of the Japan Economic Policy Association, Nov. 2020

  • A Quantitative Study on the Effects of Government Policies on Income Inequality in Postwar Japan
    Kei Toyozawa, Tomoko Kinugasa
    The 19th International Conference of the Japan Economic Policy Association, Nov. 2020

  • 成人寿命の教育への影響に関する計量的研究
    衣笠智子, 安田公治
    日本人口学会第72回大会, Nov. 2020

  • Empirical Research about the Effect of Adult Longevity on Education
    安田公治, 衣笠智子
    日本経済学会2020年度秋季大会, Oct. 2020

  • 農家のIT化に関する計量的研究 －兵庫県養父市の農家データを用いて－
    衣笠智子;衛藤彬史;安田公治;豊澤圭
    第70回地域農林経済学会大会, Oct. 2020

  • 養父市における農家のIT化の決定要因
    六甲フォーラム, Sep. 2020

  • Determinants of Urban Population’s Local Migration and Lifestyle Changes in Japan
    Etsusaku Shimada and Tomoko Kinugasa
    The 18 th International Conference of the Japan Economic Policy Association, Nov. 2019, English

  • How different are demographic impacts on trade openness by geographic region? : Findings from Europe, Asia, America, and Africa
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, Yukio Fukumoto
    the 94th Annual Conference, Western Economic Association International, Jul. 2019, English, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 年齢構成と貿易開放度に関する地域別分析
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, 福本 幸男
    日本人口学会 第70回大会, Jun. 2018, Japanese, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Do natural disasters influence long-term saving?
    羅 鎧文, KINUGASA TOMOKO
    六甲フォーラム, Jun. 2018, Japanese, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Age Structure on Trade Openness by Geographic Region
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, Yukio Fukumoto
    Western Economic Association International, Jan. 2018, English, Newcastle Business School, University of Newcastle, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Age Structure on Trade Openness by Geographic Region
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    2nd KU-FTU Cooperation Symposium, Sep. 2017, English, 神戸大学, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Does Demographic Change Influence International Trade?: An Empirical Study of APEC Economies
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    日中四大学シンポジウム, Dec. 2016, English, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Age structure and trade openness: An empirical investigation
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Conference on Sustainable metropolis: Population, Productivty and Parity, Mar. 2016, English, Nanyang Technological University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 農業経済論(1)
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    六甲フォーラムサーベイレクチャー, 2016, English, Domestic conference
    Public discourse

  • The Effects of Demographic Change on International Trade: An Empirical Study in APEC
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    Development and Policy Seminar, Jan. 2016, Japanese, 兵庫県立大学経済学部, 兵庫県立大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Does Demographic Change Influence International Trade? An Empirical Study in APEC
    KINUGASA TOMOKO
    The 1st International Conference on Applied Econometrics in Hawaii, Nov. 2015, English, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Trade Openness and Demographic Change
    KINUGASA TOMOKO, FUKUMOTO YUKIO
    EWC Research Program's Brown-Bag Seminar, Aug. 2014, English, East-West Center, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 農家の都市農村交流への意識に関する計量的研究―大阪府豊能郡能勢町の農家アンケートに基づいて―
    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu
    第62回地域農林経済学会大会, Oct. 2012, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 大阪経済大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 中山間地域の農業振興に関する一考察 ―能勢町農家の都市農村交流に対する意向の決定要因―
    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu
    Workshop on Population and Food Economics / 六甲フォーラム, Oct. 2012, Japanese, 神戸大学経済学研究科, 神戸大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 討論:The Effect of Off-Farm Work on Farm Technical Efficiency in China
    KINUGASA Tomoko
    日本経済政策学会 第69回全国大会, May 2012, Japanese, 日本経済政策学会, 椙山女学園大学, Domestic conference
    Public symposium

  • 人口減少と日本経済
    KINUGASA Tomoko
    加西市議会議員勉強会, May 2012, Japanese, 兵庫県加西市, 加西市役所, Domestic conference
    Invited oral presentation

  • Demographic Dividends, Depopulation, and Agriculture in Japan: Simulation Analyses using Growth Rate Multipliers and Overlapping Generations Model
    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi
    日本経済政策学会 第69回全国大会, May 2012, English, 日本経済政策学会, 椙山女学園大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 2つの人口ボーナスと貯蓄および経済成長
    KINUGASA Tomoko
    日本大学人口研究所セミナー, Feb. 2012, Japanese, 日本大学, 日本大学, Domestic conference
    Invited oral presentation

  • 小麦の技術効率性とその地域間収束
    NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko
    地域農林経済学会第61回大会, Oct. 2011, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 松山市, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 地方自治体の人口規模と財政支出についての計量的研究
    OKADA Shuichi, KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi
    日本経済政策学会第68回全国大会, May 2011, Japanese, 日本経済政策学会, 東京都, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 日本における小麦の全要素生産性とその地域間収束
    NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko
    地域農林経済学会第60回大会, Oct. 2010, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 京都市, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 中国畜産物生産の地域区分と技術効率性に関する計量的研究
    YAO Wanjun, KINUGASA Tomoko
    地域農林経済学会第60回大会, Oct. 2010, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 京都市, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 計量および数学ソフトを用いた人口と経済に関する教育
    KINUGASA Tomoko
    日本人口学会第62回大会, Jun. 2010, Japanese, 日本人口学会, 東京都, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 討論:農林牧業の振興による日本農業の内需拡大策
    KINUGASA Tomoko
    日本経済政策学会第67回全国大会, May 2010, Japanese, 日本経済政策学会, 京都市, Domestic conference
    Others

  • Demographic Dividends, Depopulation, and Importance of Agriculture in Japan: the Past, the Present, and the Future
    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi
    Population Association of America 2010 Annual Meeting, Apr. 2010, English, Population Association of America, Dallas, US, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Why Nations Become Wealthy: The Effects of Adult Longevity on Saving
    Kinugasa Tomoko, Mason Andrew
    Seminar, Department of Economics, University of Hawaii, Oct. 2006, English, Department of Economics, University of Hawaii, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Adult Longevity on Retirement
    Kinugasa Tomoko, Lee Sang-Hyop
    Kobe COE Advanced Economic Study Series, Dec. 2005, English, Graduate School of Eonomics, Kobe University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Economic Growth of Regions and Demographic Characteristics: The Comparative Empirical Analysis of the Cases of Japan and China
    Kinugasa Tomoko, Huang Wei, Yamaguchi Mitoshi
    COE/JEPA Joint International Conference, Dec. 2005, English, 淡路夢舞台国際会議場, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Demographic Change and Regional Growth in Japan and China: An Empirical Analysis
    Kinugasa Tomoko, Huang Wei, Yamaguchi Mitoshi
    Kobe COE Advanced Economic Study Series, Dec. 2005, English, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Rapid Population Aging on Saving
    Kinugasa Tomoko
    関西大学セミナー, Nov. 2005, Japanese, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Adult Longevity on Saving
    衣笠 智子
    The 2005 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Mar. 2005, English, 未記入, Philadelphia, USA, International conference
    Others

  • Adult Mortality Transition and National Saving
    衣笠 智子
    日本人口学会関西部会研究会, Dec. 2004, English, 日本人口学会関西部会, 西宮市大学交流センター, Domestic conference
    Others

  • East Asian Economic Development: Two Demographic Dividends
    衣笠 智子
    Conference on Miracles and Mirages in East Asian Economic Development, May 2004, English, 未記入, Honolulu, Hawaii, International conference
    Others

■ Affiliated Academic Society
  • International Union for the Scientific Study of PopulationToggle menu

  • 地域農林経済学会

  • 日本経済政策学会

  • 日本経済学会

  • 日本農業経済学会

  • 日本人口学会

  • Population Association of America

■ Research Themes
  • 新型コロナウイルス流行の寿命予測と貯蓄行動に対する影響
    衣笠 智子, 増本 康平, 安田 公治, 羽森 茂之, 勇上 和史
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業 挑戦的研究(萌芽), 挑戦的研究(萌芽), 神戸大学, 09 Jul. 2021 - 31 Mar. 2024
    今年度は、新型コロナウイルスの流行に伴って、寿命や死亡率に関する意識がどう変化したのか、また、その変化が貯蓄行動にどう影響したかを明らかにするという目的を達成すべく、下記の件を検討した。まず、寿命の予測が変化した場合の人々の貯蓄行動への影響を理論的に検討した。個々人が予想する生存率を軸に、どのような貯蓄行動をするのか、寿命の不確実性を考慮した世代重複モデルを基礎に、心理学の要因を取り入れて検討する。基本的に、経済学のライフサイクル仮説（老後に備えるために、現役時代に貯蓄するという仮説）に基づいて考えたが、貯蓄の決定要因として、寿命予測、時間選好、子供の数、現在の所得と将来の期待所得、また、心理学的には、人は残された時間に限りがあると認識すると感情的満足を重視するようになるという理論（社会情動的選択性理論）を考慮した。その理論を軸に、オンラインのアンケートを準備した。アンケートは、日本の、自分または配偶者が働いている２０－７０代の男女に行う予定である。その中で、主観的な死亡率に関する情報を数種類尋ねることにしている。本研究は、主観的死亡率をアンケートで尋ねているところに特徴があり、他のアンケート調査では得られない情報である。また、副次的な研究として、予備調査に基づく計量分析を行い、国際会議、国内の学会で報告したが、学術誌に投稿の準備を進めている。さらに、新型コロナウイルス流行後の地域経済について、論文を投稿中である。また、新型コロナウイルスに関して、計量研究を行い、論文を公刊した。

  • International comprison of conservation and utilization on depletable regional resources
    加賀爪 優, 鬼木 俊次, 衣笠 智子
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Kyoto University, 01 Apr. 2018 - 31 Mar. 2022
    2018年度はアファール州で首都アジスアベバに近いアヲッシュ地域で現地調査を実施したが、2019年度はアジスアベバから北西500kmで同じアファール州の州都であるセメラ地域で現地調査を実施した。2018年度のアヲッシュ地域が国の首都に近いことから農畜産物の流通業の比重が高かったのに比べて、セメラ地域は牧畜中心の比重が高いが、以前に調査した北部ティグライ州のメケレに比べると貧困の度合いは深刻である。 鬼木は、エチオピアのティグライ地域において、確率的生産関数を推定し、植林に対する共有地配分政策の効果を評価した。その際、準実験方法を用いてこの計画への参加農民と非参加農民の間で農業生産の技術的効率性を比較し、共有地の配分が技術的効率性を改善すること、さらにこの計画は、土地を保全しながら農業所得を増大させうることを示した。従って、共有地の配分は、サハラ以南アフリカの山岳地域で持続可能な土地利用を推進することを明らかにした。 加賀爪は、ミャンマーの分析の他に、中国の３つの主要穀物生産州（山東省、湖南省、安徽省）の10県のデータを収集し、パネルデータによる固定効果モデルを分析した。その結果、農地規模拡大は単収を増加させないが、生産費を大きく引き下げ、穀物生産の単位利潤を増加させること、第2に、生産量と利潤に関しては、農地規模との関係で逆U字形を示すが、生産費との関係においてはU字形を示し、その転換点は1～1.333haであることを確認した。第3に、農地規模が単収と生産費に及ぼす逆比例の効果は時間的に漸減しつつあること、また費用効率性の優位性は徐々に低下していることを示した。 衣笠は、日本と中国に関して、自然災害が個人貯蓄率に及ぼす長期的影響および動学的効率性について計量的に分析し、さらに、国民の農村移住に関する決定要因についてアンケート調査を用いた実証分析を実施した。

  • FUKUI SEIICHI
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), 01 Apr. 2016 - 31 Mar. 2019
    This study aims to investigate the possibility of increasing take-up rate by introducing a new scheme of CBHI including treatment of chronic diseases and medical service by pricvate clinic.For that purpose, we conducted a field survey to collect the data and information in rural Cambodia, and estimated willingness to pay for the new cheme by using latent class model and the cost to implementit. The results show that we can provide a sustainable CBHI scheme including treatment of chronic diseases, medical service of private clinic, and improvemet of insurance management.

  • 羽森 茂之
    学術研究助成基金助成金／挑戦的研究（萌芽）, Apr. 2017 - Mar. 2019
    Competitive research funding

  • Kinugasa Tomoko
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Kobe University, Apr. 2014 - Mar. 2018, Principal investigator
    We analyzed how globalization and population aging affects agriculture and economy in East Asia, including Japan. First, according to simulation analysis using overlapping generations model and general equilibrium growth accounting model, we found that an increase in adult longevity has an important effect on saving rate and that demographic change influences agriculture and industrial structure. Next, we conducted empirical analysis using world panel data and found that age structure influence trade openness significantly. It is indicated that recent dramatic globalization in the world has been partly caused by an increase in share of working-age population in total population.
    Competitive research funding

  • KAGATSUME MASARU
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Kyoto University, 01 Apr. 2012 - 31 Mar. 2017
    By experimental economic analysis, it was clarified that farmer’s risk aversion level and loss aversion level in Loess Plateau area of Shaanxi Province, China, were estimated to be 0.19 and 2.52, lower than world level and determined by factors such as education level, distance from the prefectural office, age and cooperatives activities. By the fixed effect analysis of panel data model, it was pointed out that the farmers in Afar district, Ethiopia need to diversify their livestock management by dealing with honey, salt, forestry and hay/straw production with irrigation under the veterinary guidance in order to increase their incomes. By the anthropological field survey in Tigray district, Ethiopia, it was clarified that farmers have adapted their production and consumption patterns flexibly to fluctuation risk of natural grass vegetation and the milk products have strongly linked to the livings of rural people.

  • KINUGASA Tomoko
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B), Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B), Kobe University, 2008 - 2011, Principal investigator
    First, the effects of two demographic dividends, which attract attentions of demographers, on saving and economic growth are analyzed theoretically and empirically. We found that second demographic dividend, namely, an increase in longevity, can have positive effects on economic growth in developed countries. Second, we conducted simulation analysis about the effect of demographic change on industrial structure, and it was suggested that the importance of agriculture can increase in the future in Japan. Third, we found that human capital is quite important for economic growth according to our empirical results using the data of China and Thailand.
    Competitive research funding

  • KAGATSUME Masaru, ONIKI Shunji, KINUGASA Tomoko, SENDA Tersuji, CHIN Kinko, TSUKUI Makiko, SUZUKI Nobuhiro
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Kyoto University, 2007 - 2010
    Trade liberalization brings benefits to all trade partners from the viewpoint of market economy. Judging from the viewpoint of environmental effects, developing countries suffer from the deterioration although they enjoy economic surplus to some extent. On the other hand, the developed countries enjoy both economic surplus and environmental improvements. Thus, the sustainability of developing countries will be deteriorated as trade liberalization progresses. As the leading case of environmental conservation policies, in this research, the EU environmental direct payment policy was evaluated and it was pointed out that there are several points to be improved.

  • YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, HORIUCHI Hisataro, KAGATUME Masaru, HUKUI Seiichi, SUZUKI Nobuhiro, MATUDA Toshinobu, HUJIMOTO Takashi, KINUGASA Tomoko
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), 2006 - 2008
    本科研の研究では人口減少下の農業と食料についての研究成果を行っている。具体的には、「世界のWTO・FTAの潮流」と「農業の新たな構図」の展望、FTA交渉から見えてくるASEANとの「東アジア経済統合」への道、人口減少を含む「人口変化が産業構造に与える影響」、文明転換期にある「人口減少と食料や農業のあるべき姿」、「豪州の食料貿易政策」、「中国農業の全要素生産性」等の計測、地域間の「収束性」の分析、「中国や台湾の人的資本とその経済や社会への影響」、「飼料自給・糞尿循環利用・水田保全」に及ぼす影響、「食料消費の理論的実証的研究」等を行っている。この3年間で、8人の論文が74本、著書が12冊、学会発表は52回にも至っている。
    Competitive research funding

  • 中国の草原砂漠化における生態移民の効果に関する計量経済的研究
    加賀爪 優, 鬼木 俊次, 衣笠 智子, 仙田 徹志
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業 萌芽研究, 萌芽研究, 京都大学, 2005 - 2007
    今年度は、以下の手順で調査・研究を行ない、これまでの分析を含めて次のような成果を発表した. 1.効率性の計量分析 ・18年度に実施した生態移民調査結果に基づき,移民農家の技術効率性に関する計量分析を行った. 2.生態移民村および移住元地域の現地調査 ・中国内モンゴル自治区の生態移民村間の経営状況の違いを調べるため,複数の生態移民村を訪問し,農家および生態移民村の管理者への聞き取り調査を実施した.特に,移住前後の所得や家計支出の変化,移住の要因,労働時間・作業の変化についてデータを収集した.また,移住前の草地を踏査し,地域の植生の回復状況や残っている農家の経営状況を調査した. 3.生態移民村の標本調査 ・18年度調査した内モンゴル自治区ウランチャブ盟の生態移民村のパネルデータを収集した. ・生態移民村間の違いを見るために,約20の移民村から農家経営のサンプル調査を行った. 4.解析 ・調査したサンプルデータのチェックおよび集計作業を行った. ・生態移民村間の経営状況の違いおよび移民村とそれ以外の酪農経営の比較,移住の要因,移住後の技術効率性変化,ならびに移住元の放牧圧の変化等を総合的に分析し,草原の放牧圧の軽減と牧民所得の維持・向上を両立しうる政策について論文「中国内モンゴルの生態移民と農家所得」にまとめ国際開発学会で発表した。 [研究協力者] 内蒙古財経学院教授 双喜:放牧型畜産に関する現地調査・合同研究会の企画・調整. 内蒙古農業大学・経済管理学院・助教授 根鎖・杜富林:現地調査(酪農地域調査)の企画・調整

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