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TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
Graduate School of Maritime Sciences / Department of Maritime Sciences
Professor

Researcher basic information

■ Research Keyword
  • security management
  • construction management
  • maritime transport market analysis
  • port planning and management
  • air transport analysis
  • airport planning and management
■ Research Areas
  • Social infrastructure (civil Engineering, architecture, disaster prevention) / Civil engineering (planning and transportation)
■ Committee History
  • Jul. 2018 - Present, 兵庫県港湾審議会, 会長（2020-）
  • Jun. 2017 - Present, 国土交通省国土政策局 小笠原諸島振興開発審議会, 委員
  • Jun. 2014 - Present, 大阪港湾局 大阪府地方港湾審議会, 委員長
  • May 2011 - Present, 内閣府 総合特別区評価・調査検討会, 副委員長（2016-）
  • Jul. 2008 - Present, 国土交通省大阪航空局入札監査委員会, 委員長（2022-）
  • Jun. 2014 - Jun. 2024, 国土交通省 交通政策審議会港湾分科会, 臨時委員
  • May 2012 - Apr. 2024, 神戸市港湾審議会委員, 計画部会長（2012-2021），委員長（2022-）
  • Jul. 2019 - Jul. 2023, Air Transport Research Society (ATRS) 2023 in Kobe Organizing Committee, Chair person
  • Jul. 2011 - Jul. 2021, 国土交通省国土政策局 奄美群島振興開発審議会委員, 委員
  • - Sep. 2018, EASTS, International Scientific Committee Member
  • 土木学会, 土木計画学「航空輸送に関する高度なモデル化ならびに統計分析に関する技術検討小委員会」委員長
  • T-LOG, International Scientific Committee Member

Research activity information

■ Award
  • Sep. 2021 Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, OCDI Takeuchi Yoshio Special Award for EASTS, Shipper’s Port Choice Behavior in South Viet Nam: Discrete Choice Approach
    Tam Thi Anh Tran, Mikio Takebayashi

  • Oct. 2014 日本海運経済学会, 2014年度日本海運経済学会学会賞（論文の部）, Mikio Takebayashi: Network competition and the difference in operating cost: Model analysis, Transportation Research E 57, 85-94, 2013.
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Japan society

■ Paper
  • Ayumu Kumaoka, Masamitsu Onishi, Masato Iguchi, Mikio Takebayashi
    This study proposes a volcanic ash (VA) risk alert system for airports and analyzes the capacity for accommodating evacuation aircraft during a large-scale eruption of Mount Sakurajima. The system classifies airports into four groups (A, B, C, and D) based on factors, such as distance from the erupting volcano and VA spread speed. A crisis response system for VA is developed, which can recommend suitable actions for airports based on their classification. The system is applied to simulate a large-scale eruption of Mount Sakurajima, similar to the An-ei great eruption of 1779. Three scenarios are defined: Case 1, where VA affects all of Kyushu, Shikoku, and Chugoku; Case 2, where VA reaches southern Kyushu and parts of Shikoku and Kansai, while Chugoku remains unaffected; and Case 3, where VA extends to most of Kansai and Chubu, and the southern part of the Capital Region, affecting major airports in Kansai, Chubu, and the Capital Region. The results show that in Cases 1 and 2, the total evacuation capacity exceeds the number of aircraft requiring relocation, indicating no capacity expansion is necessary. However, Case 3 presents a challenge, as a significant number of aircraft cannot be assigned evacuation airports and some airports experience excessive aircraft congestion, leading to capacity constraints in physical airport capacity and air traffic control operations. These findings underscore the need for improvements in these capacity issues and provide policy implications for future preparedness.
    Fuji Technology Press Ltd., Jun. 2025, Journal of Disaster Research, 20(3) (3), 269 - 280, English
    [Refereed][Invited]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio Takebayashi, Masamitsu Onishi, Katsuki Tobita, Masato Iguchi
    Elsevier BV, Jun. 2025, Case Studies on Transport Policy, 20, 101432 - 101432, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Kazuhiko Ishiguro, Hiroyuki Ishihara, Mikio Takebayashi
    Last, Elsevier BV, Apr. 2025, Journal of Air Transport Management, 124, 102737 - 102737, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • Mikio Takebayashi, Hiromichi Yamaguchi
    Elsevier BV, Dec. 2024, Transport Economics and Management, 2, 122 - 129, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • Etsuki Kakimoto, Kazuhiko Ishiguro, Mikio Takebayashi
    Jul. 2024, Jnl. of the EASTS, 15, 3362 - 3378, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Hiroyuki Ishihara, Kazuhiko Ishiguro, Mikio Takebayashi
    Jul. 2024, Jnl. of the EASTS, 15, 1330 - 1349, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Ryohei Yamamoto, Mikio Takebayashi
    Last, Informa UK Limited, Jun. 2023, Maritime Policy & Management, 1 - 20, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Shipper’s Port Choice Behavior in South Viet Nam: Discrete Choice Approach
    Tam Thi Anh Tran, Mikio Takebayashi
    Sep. 2022, Journal of the EASTS, 14, 881 - 895, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio Takebayashi, Hiromichi Yamaguchi
    Elsevier BV, Mar. 2022, Journal of Air Transport Management, 99, 102177 - 102177, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio Takebayashi, Masamitsu Onishi, Masato Iguchi
    Elsevier BV, Oct. 2021, Journal of Air Transport Management, 97, 102136 - 102136, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio TAKEBAYASHI
    Elsevier BV, May 2021, Transport Policy, 107, 61 - 71, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Efficient inter-port cooperation considering port congestion and port charge
    Mikio Takebayashi, Shinya Hanaoka
    Feb. 2021, Maritime Transport Research, 2, 1 - 13, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • ow to Establish West Japan-ASEAN RORO Ship Route?: Based on Network Analysis
    Jun Kimata, Mikio Takebayashi
    Last, Dec. 2019, Journal of the EASTS, 13, 2278 - 2294, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 大規模火山噴火による航空輸送への影響：桜島噴火の場合
    竹林 幹雄
    Dec. 2019, 自然災害科学, 38(3) (3), 336 - 341, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Scientific journal

  • TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, ONISHI MASAMITSU
    Elsevier, Jun. 2019, Transportation Research Part A, (125) (125), 167 - 168, English
    [Refereed][Invited]
    Scientific journal

  • Consolidation of Japan-ASEAN Routes and Its Benefits toward the Hinterland Economies: Based on Network Analysis
    KIMATA JUN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    本稿では，東南アジア航路の西日本における寄港地集約についてネットワーク均衡分析による評価を試み
    る．船社による欧米基幹航路の寄港地集約と同様に，今後のターゲット市場であるASEANを中心とする東
    南アジア航路についても集貨効率性を求め拠点港へ集約する動きがある．本稿では，東南アジアコンテナ
    市場のうち，西日本発のベトナム向けコンテナ貨物をケーススタディーとしてbi-levelモデル型のネットワーク
    均衡分析を適用し，ベトナム航路を阪神港に集約したケースについてシミュレーションを行った．その結果
    から，寄港地集約は阪神港の集貨に有効であるものの，海外トランシップ利用の増大や荷主の効用低下を
    招く可能性があることを示した．
    運輸総合研究所, Apr. 2019, 運輸政策研究, J-STAGE早期公開, 1 - 14, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 井口 正人, 中道 治久, 小林 哲夫, 岩松 暉, 幸福 崇, 田嶋 祐哉, 黒岩 賢彦, 上林 嵩弘, 三田 和朗, 竹林 幹雄, 福島 大輔
    日本自然災害学会, 2019, 自然災害科学, 38(3) (3), 279 - 345, Japanese

  • Port Choice Behavior of Shippers to ASEAN: Based on the Container Shipping Survey 2003, 2008 and 2013
    KIMATA JUN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    This paper aims to analyze the change of maritime transport needs of Japanese shippers for Japan-Southeast Asia route, by
    the route choice model using OD survey data in 2003, 2008 and 2013. We analyze the shipper’s port choice behavior with
    three elements. The results show that the domestic transportation cost is the most important factor to choose the departure
    port: this tend
    運輸総合研究所, Nov. 2018, 運輸政策研究, J-STAGE早期公開, 1 - 9, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, ONISHI MASAMITSU
    On the basis of model analysis, this study proposes an effective method for managing reliever gateway airports when the main gateway airport is completely dysfunctional owing to a catastrophe. In particular, we deal with the case where the main and reliever airports are connected by high-speed rail (HSR), and we discuss a desirable and effective support policy for regaining pas
    Elsevier, Sep. 2018, Transportation Research A, 118, 133 - 146, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio Takebayashi
    Elsevier Ltd, Jun. 2018, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 112, 108 - 123, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Measuring the shipper's benefit using oversea transshipment: case of Japan-North American container cargo transport market
    KIMATA JUN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    本稿では，日本から北米に輸出されるコンテナ貨物の海外港湾でのトランシップが我が国荷主の便益に与える影響について議論する。まず，全国輸出入コンテナ貨物流動調査から集計ロジットタイプの荷主の経路選択モデルを構築した。このモデルを用い，海外トランシップや北米直送航路の減少に伴う荷主の効用の減少を貨幣タームで明らかにした。また，感度分析により荷主補助金による釜山港トランシップから阪神港直送への転換は，トランシップに伴う追加的コストの低減という点では荷主に有益であるが，費用対効果の観点からは改善の余地があることを示した。
    JACZS, Dec. 2017, Journal of Coastal Zone Studies, 30(3) (3), 67 - 78, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 羽田空港の国際線容量拡張のネットワークへの影響
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    神戸大学経済経営学会, Jul. 2017, 国民経済雑誌, 216(1) (1), 39 - 50, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Research institution
    Link to Kobe Univ. Repository (Kernel)

  • Feasibility Analysis of Partial Cooperation between Government and Port in the Multiple Port System
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, TRAN Thi Anh Tam
    This paper aims to consider the possibility of cooperative relationship among ports- and government for efficient port management in the southern part of Viet Nam. First, we obtain parameters of the Vietnamese shippers’port choice behavior by using the disaggregated data. Second, we start with the equilibrium analysis under this situation as the base case. Third, we carry out
    運輸政策研究機構, Apr. 2017, 運輸政策研究, 20, 1 - 10, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio Takebayashi
    Oct. 2016, TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE, 92(92) (92), 277 - 286, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Managing Airport Charges under the Multiple Hub Network
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    ATRS, Jun. 2016, Proc. of ATRS 2016, English
    International conference proceedings

  • Connectivity among the Mainland and Isolated Islands
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, NAKADE TAKAHIRO
    Institute of Transportation Economics, Dec. 2015, Transportation & Economy, 75(12) (12), 67 - 78, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Time Series Analysis for Viet Nam Container Cargo Movements-Implications for Port Policy Management
    Thi Anh Tam TRAN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    EASTS, Dec. 2015, Journal of EASTS, 11, 2392 - 2411, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • The Recent Trend of Viet Nam Based Maritime Container Shipping and Its Implications for Ports
    Thi Anh Tam TRAN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    This paper studies container shipping trends of Viet Nam through analyzing vessel flows, official container services provided to Viet Nam ports since 1995. Such a practical approach might be useful for port operators and policy makers to evaluate the degree of integration of Viet Nam ports to container networks. Main findings of this paper are 1) Container shipping services to
    Japanese Association for Coastal Zone Studies, Dec. 2015, Journal of Coastal Zone Studies, 28(3) (3), 93 - 105, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Time Series Analysis for Viet Nam Container Cargo Movements – Implications for Port Policy Management
    Thi Anh Tam TRAN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Understanding the patterns of container flows is very important for port planning, development and operation, in particular export-based economy like Viet Nam. Reliable and accurate estimated models of those data flows help decision makers produce efficient and effective long-term development plans. In this paper, we conduct the empirical research study by applying Autoregressi
    Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies/EASTS, Sep. 2015, Proc. of 11th International Conference of EASTS, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Multiple hub network and high-speed railway: Connectivity, gateway, and airport leakage
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    This paper considers the relation between the role of airport as gateway (inter–intra transit
    airport) and the connectivity between air transport and high-speed rail (HSR) transport to
    discuss the possibility of a multiple gateway system with HSR. We deal with both international
    and domestic transport markets in the model analysis. In the international markets,
    only airlines co
    Elsevier, Jun. 2015, Transportation Research Part A, 79, 55 - 64, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Feasibility Analysis of Launching RORO Vessel Services: Full Cost Approach
    OKA HIDEYUKI, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    This paper aims to reveal the characteristics of shippers using RORO services and propose the methodology for evaluating the possibility of RORO service launching. First, we analyze the behavior of shippers using the RORO service launched from/to North Kyushu, and we find that some shippers use the long truck/rail feeder services from Osaka and Tokyo areas. Second, we propose t
    運輸政策研究機構, Jan. 2015, 運輸政策研究, 17(4) (4), 2 - 8, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Shinya Hanaoka, Mikio Takebayashi, Tomoki Ishikura, Batari Saraswati
    Aug. 2014, JOURNAL OF AIR TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT, 40(40) (40), 96 - 105, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Viet Nam Port Policy Study – Vision ASEAN Economic Community 2015
    Tam Thi Anh TRAN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    ASEAN members plan to establish a single economic community by 2015, and the intra-ASEAN trade can grow accordingly. However, some countries including Viet Nam have less-developed infrastructures for transport, and then the connectivity, between surface transport and ports should be improved for enhancing the ASEAN transport.
    This paper aims to review the port management polic
    TLOG, Jul. 2014, Proc. of the Fifth International Conference on Transportation and Logistics, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • The Air Cargo Hub Competition and Network Design
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    In this paper, we discuss the hub airport competition in air cargo transport market and obtain some suggestions for airport management. First, we propose an air cargo transport market model which is developed as a modified bi-level transport market model. The market consists of three levels. The first level is of the airports’ competition and airports are assumed to maximize th
    TLOG, Jul. 2014, Proc. of the Fifth International Conference on Transportation and Logistics, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Airport Management and High Speed Railway
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    This paper discusses the possibility of collaboration between airport and high-speed railway (HSR) to improve the airport’s gateway function. We apply the model in which the airport authority as the third player whose motivation is profit maximization by controlling the airport charge to international flights. We carry out some numerical computations with the model under the tw
    Air Transport Research Society/ATRS, Jul. 2014, Proc. of ATRS 2014, English
    International conference proceedings

  • Mikio Takebayashi
    Apr. 2014, TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE, 62(A62) (A62), 20 - 29, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Strategic Analysis on the Management Policy of the Hanshin Port
    OHI TERUO, YAMANE TAKAYUKI, KURODA TAKAAKI, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    This paper aims to apply a bi-level model to the Asia-Pacific-EU seaborne cargo transport market, and evaluate the effectiveness of future strategic plans proposed by the port of Hanshin. The computation results suggest that one strategic plan, the extension of long feeder services to the western Japan, improves the load factor of vessels in the long-haul market and the other s
    EASTS, Sep. 2013, Proc. of EASTS 2013, English
    International conference proceedings

  • Twin Hub Network and High-Speed Railway: Connectivity, Gateway, and Airport Leakage
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    This paper evaluates the connectivity between air transport and high-speed rail (HSR) transport and the role of gateway of airports to discuss the possibility of coexistence of air and HSR transport under the twin hub air network. We apply a bi-level air transport model to the three zones hub-spokes network which has two hubs and covers one domestic market and two international
    Air Transport Research Society/ATRS, Jun. 2013, Proc. of ATRS 2013, Paper ID:128, English
    International conference proceedings

  • TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, ISHIKURA Tomoki
    This paper estimates the impact of entrance of low cost carriers to Eastern Asia international passenger transport markets, especially to the high density short haul markets, and discusses the efficient management policy of multiple airport system. We apply the bi-level air transport market model to Osaka-Korea international passenger transport market, and estimate the impact o
    EASTS, Mar. 2013, Asian Transport Studies, Vol.2(Issue 3) (Issue 3), 309 - 322, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio Takebayashi
    Elsevier Ltd, 2013, Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 57(57) (57), 85 - 94, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • The Future Relations between Air and Rail Transport in the Island Country
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Jul. 2012, Proc. of ATRS 2012, English
    International conference proceedings

  • Managing the multiple airport system by coordinating short/long-haul flights
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Mar. 2012, Journal of Air Transport Management, 22, 16-20, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • COOPERATION OF SAFE OPERATION IN INTERNATIONAL STRAITS CONSIDERING TRANSPORT NETWORK STRUCTURE
    YASUFUKU Kosuke, Takebayashi Mikio
    土木学会, Dec. 2011, Infrastructure Planning Review, D3, Vol. 67, No.5, I_929-I_938(5) (5), I_929 - 938, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Airline's Network Design Strategy under Asymmetric Operating Cost Structure: Model Analysis
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Jul. 2011, Proceedings of ATRS2011, Paper ID 148, English
    International conference proceedings

  • TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, ISHIKURA Tomoki
    This paper estimates the impact of the entrance of low cost carriers on the Eastern Asia international passenger transport markets, especially to the high density short-haul markets, and discusses the efficient management policy of a multiple airport system. We apply a bi-level air transport market model to Osaka-Korea international passenger transport market, and estimate the impact of entrance of low cost carriers. The results suggest that the entrance of LCC improves passenger's utility, but the profit of legacy carriers is significantly reduced. We also evaluate the slot allocation policy of Osaka-Itami International Airport. Finally we find that the policy used in Osaka-Itami is useful for protecting the legacy carrier's share, but this effect disappears with the increase of passenger's sensitivity to airfare.
    Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Jun. 2011, Proc. of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Vol.8, paper ID 100211(3) (3), 309 - 322, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Mikio Takebayashi
    Feb. 2011, PACIFIC ECONOMIC REVIEW, 16(1) (1), 64 - 82, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Mikio Takebayashi
    Elsevier Ltd, 2011, Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 47(3) (3), 390 - 400, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Airlines' Behavior on Choice of Aircraft Size and Network Design under Runway Capacity Constraint: Application to Haneda Airport
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Sep. 2010, Journal of Infrastructure Planning Review, Vol. 27, No. 4, 803-810, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • The Cost of Environmental Pollution and Change of Network Design
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Sep. 2010, Proc. of 3rd International Conference on Transport and Logistics (T-LOG), Vol. 3, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Measuring the Benefit of Choke Point for International Seaborne Cargo Transport Markets by Network Analyzing Method
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, YASUFUKU Kosuke
    Sep. 2010, Proc. of 3rd International Conference on Transport and Logistics (T-LOG), Vol. 3, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    This paper discusses the theoretical framework for considering network design and choice of aircraft size in order to understand the hub dominance in the air cargo transport markets. The model is a bi-level market model that is constructed by air carriers' behavior as leader, and shippers' behavior as follower. We assume the duopoly market in which air carriers aim to maximize their profit by designing shipping network. Shippers aim to reduce their generalized shipping cost which consists of shipping time, waiting time, tariff and monetary value of congestion. We assume that the equilibrium flow of commodities is given as stochastic user equilibrium flow. Computation results suggest that the carrier which holds the dominant hub airport rules the market but the hub dominance is unstable. Hub dominance heavily depends on the balance between runway capacity and local cargo flows.
    Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Sep. 2010, Journal of EASTS, Vol. 8, 735-748, 747 - 760, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • MANAGING THE MULTIPLE AIRPORT SYSTEM : How to Coordinate Short Haul/Long Haul Flights
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Jul. 2010, Proc. of ATRS 2010, Paper No. 105, CDROM, English
    International conference proceedings

  • Modering of airline' behavior on Choice of aircraft size and network design
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Jun. 2010, Journal of Infrastructure Planning Review, 部門D Vol 66 No.2, 269-278, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Hub Dominance and Runway Capacity Constraint in Air Cargo Transport Markets: Model Analysis
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Nov. 2009, Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Vol. 17, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Airlines Behavior for Choice of Aircraft Size and Network Design: Bi-level Model
    Takebayashi Mikio
    Jun. 2009, Proceedings of ATRS 2009, CDROM, English
    International conference proceedings

  • 関西３空港における国内航空旅客需要に関する研究
    Takebayashi Mikio, Kuroda Katsuhiko
    運輸政策研究機構, Jan. 2009, 運輸政策研究, Vol.11, No.4, 21-29(4) (4), 21 - 29, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 石倉 智樹, Takebayashi Mikio
    After "Re-Expansion Project" of Haneda Airport, Japanese Government plans partial relaxation of international flights restriction policy at Haneda Airport. This policy will create new international air transport market at Japan's capital metropolitan area, and it will also provide drastic influence on existing air transport market. Since it is meaningful to evaluate the policy alternatives with physical outputs such as flight frequencies and passenger's link flow under physical constraints, this article aims to propose a methodology for the policy assessment in terms of the air transport network equilibrium and apply the methodology to policy scenario analysis.
    The results imply that the behavior of the short range markets such as Tokyo-Seoul routes are sensitive to the number of international slot capacity of Haneda Airport. The analysis also estimates the influences on the markets by some "destination selection rules" with physical outputs.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Sep. 2008, 土木学会論文集, D,Vol. 64,No. 3,432-446(3) (3), 432 - 446, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 消費者余剰を考慮した道路橋RC床版の最適補修対策
    古田 均, 保田 敬一, 築山 勲, Takebayashi Mikio
    Mar. 2008, 構造工学論文集, Vol. 54A, 142-151, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 空港容量と運航規制の制約を考慮した国際航空ネットワーク市場の定量的政策分析手法の提案
    石倉 智樹, Takebayashi Mikio
    国土技術政策総合研究所, Dec. 2007, 国土技術政策総合研究所研究報告, No. 34(34) (34), 1 - 22,巻頭1〜2, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • TAKEBAYASHI, Mikio, KURODA, Katsuhiko
    This paper aims to analyze the characteristics of domestic air transport market relating to Osaka Metropolitan Area by applying the Bi-Level market model. First, we evaluate the model accuracy with 2002 data. The results show that the model duplicates the PAX flow well but service frequencies are over-estimated. Second, we examine the scenario studies in order to understand the structural relationship among three airports. The results show thatthe strict capacity constraint of ITM leads to the demand shift to KIX but the demand will shift to KOB when KOB has more capacity.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Sep. 2007, 土木計画学研究論文集, No.24, 427-436, 427 - 436, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • Port Rivalry and Its Future: in the sense of “Co-opetition”
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, MIYAMOTO Hazuki, IWAI Takamasa
    Sep. 2007, 2nd International Conference of Transport and Logistics 2007, CDROM, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Management of the Multiple Airport System: Case of Osaka Metropolitan Area
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Jul. 2007, WCTR2007, CDROM, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Competitiveness of Japanese International Airports
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Jun. 2007, ATRS2007, CDROM, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Evaluation of the market potential of Asian airports under liberalization in the intra-Asian market
    TAKEBAYASHI, Mikio, KURODA, Katsuhiko
    Mar. 2007, Structural Change in Transportation and Communications in the Knowledge Society, 185-208, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • NETWORK EQUILIBRIA ANALYSIS OF INTERNATIONAL MARITIME CONTAINER TRANSPORT MARKET FOR PORT MANAGEMENT POLICY
    Takebayashi Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, MIYAMOTO Hazuki, IWAI Takamasa
    May 2006, 3rd International Conference on Maritime Transport, 679-689, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Multiple Airport System and Management Policy: Case of Osaka Metropolitan Area
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko
    May 2006, ATRS2006, CDROM, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    This paper presents the theoretical model for understanding the structure of contemporary network competition between airlines: in particular, the behavior of hub-spokes shaped network carrier against the low cost carrier is discussed. First, it is shown that the competition between hub-spokes shaped network carrier and the low cost carrier can be expressed as a class of "mathematical programming with equilibrium constraints: MPEC" and formulated as bi-level programming problem. Second, some numerical examples are carried out and the results suggest that the behavior hub-spokes shaped network carrier depends on its dominance at the hub airport
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Oct. 2005, 土木計画学研究論文集, No.22, 609-616, 609 - 616, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, KUROSAWA Naoki, MIZOBATA Shohei
    This paper addresses the methodology of reduction of air traffic delay based on integer programming problem., It is assumed that each hub is used as the primary hub airport for the independent.In this paper, we propose the bi-level structure for optimizing the delay recovery: the upper level is the Aviation Operation Center (AOC), which is controlling the hub-to-hub schedule: the lower level is controlled by the Local Hub Operators (LHO), which handle both hub-to-hub and hub-to-spokes schedules. Finally, numerical examples are carried out to show how the proposed method works.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Oct. 2005, 土木計画学研究論文集, No.22, 625-632, 625 - 632, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, KUROSAWA Naoki, MIZOBATA Shohei
    This paper addresses the methodology of reduction of air traffic delay based on integer programming problem. It is assumed that each hub is used as the primary hub airport for the independent. In this paper, we propose the bi-level structure for optimizing the delay recovery: the upper level is the Aviation Operation Center (AOC), which is controlling the hub-to-hub schedule: the lower level is controlled by the Local Hub Operators (LHO), which handle both hub-to-hub and hub-to-spokes schedules. Finally, numerical examples are carried out to show how the proposed method works.
    Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Sep. 2005, Journal of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Vol.6, 679 - 692, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, KANAI Hitoshi, HARA Shingo
    This paper's goal is to develop the international trade model with the equilibrium constraints on maritime transport market in order to estimate the short-term economic impact of transition of port management policy. Especially, the present model explicitly concerns the effect of global alliances. First, we assume the oligopoly market, in which global carriers compete with vessel frequency in each OD market as well as the stochastic allocation on the shippers' route choice behavior. Thirdly, we bind these two sub-models to full model, which obtains the Nash equilibrium between global alliances. We apply this model to the actual international maritime transport market in 2000, and evaluate some scenarios of discounting the port charges.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2005, 土木学会論文集, No.800//VI-69, 51-66(800) (800), 51 - 66, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • M Takebayashi, A Kanafani
    2005, Global Competition in Transportation Markets: Analysis and Policy Making, 13, 101 - 119, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • K Kuroda, M Takebayashi, T Tsuji
    2005, Global Competition in Transportation Markets: Analysis and Policy Making, 13, 369 - 391, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Equilibrium Approach on International Maritime Transport Market under Global Carrier's Alliances
    KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, HARA Shingo, FUKUMOTO Mamoru
    2004, International Conference on Maritime Transport and Logistics, 7-19, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Equilibrium Approach on International Maritime Transport Market by Concerning Sea Way Route Making Strategy
    KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    2004, WCTR, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • An Estimation Method of OD Table of International Container Cargo
    Syafi I, KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Kobe University, 2004, 建設工学研究所・論文集, Vol.46,89-98, 89 - 98, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 竹林 幹雄
    This paper aims to propose the optimal control policy for the maintenance of the multiple runway system, in particular, concern the influence of the flight demand on the runway condition. First, the mathematical formulation for this problem is discussed and the necessary conditions for the optimization are obtained by applying the traditional Pontryagin's Maximum Principle. Second, through the numerical examples, it is understood that for the effective maintenance policy for the multiple runway system the long interval for maintenance is required in spite of the thickness of the resurfacing. Moreover, the maintenance schedule that has a short interval gives the concentration to one runway, while the schedule that has a long interval gives the “even share” to each runway.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2003, 土木学会論文集, No.744/ⅠⅤ-61,51-59(744) (744), 51 - 59, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 黒田 勝彦, 竹林 幹雄, 宮脇 信英, 宮地 賢次
    In this Paper, we discuss the impact of new development of port of Ho Chi Minh, Viet Nam on maritime contai ner cargo transport market with the equilibrium approach. We assume three types of vessels can be handled in the market; 1000, 3000 and 6000TEU vessels. The results say that the port of Ho Chi Minh can deal the transshipped cargo from Hyphon to Hong Kong a/o Singapore with main use of 3000TEU vessels. We conclude that the status of the port of Ho Chi Minh heavily depends on the neighboring big gateway ports, Hong Kong and Singapoe.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2003, 土木計画学研究・論文集, Vol.20,No.3,711-719, 711 - 719, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 竹林 幹雄, 黒田 勝彦, 杉田 孝, 吉田 純土
    In the present paper, we develop the optimization model for SIC by adapting Wienner process theory on passengers' seat reservation. In particular, we explain the relation of optimal seat block number and retailing periods. First, we formulate the passengers' behavior as a function of number of retailing seats and length of retailing periods. Second, we show the way to obtain the optimal solution by Ito Integration method. Third, through numerical computation, the relation of optimal seat number and retailing periods is explained. Moreover, the result said that the existence of optimal OB ratio by number of seat protection is suggested.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2003, 土木計画学研究・論文集, Vol.20,No.3,613-618, 613 - 618, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • 竹林 幹雄, 黒田 勝彦, 三好 礼子, 吉永 保子
    In this Paper, we discuss the impact of the introduction of the liberalization in the Eastern Asia air transport market; in particular, we deal with its impact on the social welfare and the service level of airport due to the relaxation of the cabotage rights. First, we develop the model of air transport market based on the Cournot type competition theory. Second, we discuss the case of relaxation between Japan and China including Hong Kong with scenario of tag end cabotage. The result says that the relaxation is very useful for both of markets from the economic point of view.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2003, 土木計画学研究・論文集, Vol.20,No.3,619-627, 619 - 627, Japanese
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • MODEL APPROACH FOR EVALUATION OF RELAXATION OF CABOTAGE RIGHTS IN EASTERN ASIA AIR TRANSPORT MARKET
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, MIYOSHI Reiko
    2003, Jnl.of EASTS 2003 CD-ROM, 未記入, English
    [Refereed]
    Scientific journal

  • TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, SUZUKI Hidehiko, MIYAUCHI Toshimasa
    The present paper aims to analyze the deregulated international aviation transport market. First, the model is developed under the assumption that the market is regarded as the perfectly competitive one consisted in airlines and air passengers. Second, applying the developed model to the Asian-Pacific-European aviation network in 2010, the demand is forecasted and the influence of the airport capacity extension at NRT and KIX on the market is discussed. It is concluded that the capacity extension reinforces the hub function at the airport of which capacity is extended.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Apr. 2001, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshu, 674, 35 - 48, Japanese

  • HARUNA Mamoru, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, NAMERIKAWA Susumu
    The present paper aims to develop a multi-project planning system consisted in the hibread system of the project schedule optimization model and the regional economic simulation model. Moreover, the algorithm for the optimization of the project schedule is developed. The system is applied to the empirical case study on Maibara City Master Plan and analyze the relation between the project schedule and the impact of the project to the regional economy. From the computation results, the relation between the optimal project schedule and the population growth can be understood.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2000, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshu, 2000(646) (646), 13 - 25, Japanese

  • KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, MUTO Masahiro, OKUBO Takefumi, TSUJI Toshiaki
    The present paper aims to analyze the market structure of Asian-Pacific container cargo flow. First, it is regarded that the market is consisted by two different types of economic subject; the linership companies as the carriers and the shippers as the users. Each subject's behavior is formulated. Second, it is shown that the equilibrium vessel frequency and the container cargo flow are obtained as the Nash type equilibrium solution. And the equilibrium conditions are shown. Thrid, the model is applied to the real Asian-Pacific container cargo transportation network, and the structural features of the Asian-Pacific container cargo transport network are understood.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2000, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshu, 2000(653) (653), 117 - 131, Japanese

  • KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, HIRAI Kazuto, MASAKI Tomoya, SUZUKI Hidehiko
    The present paper aims to analyze the carriers' and the passengers' behavior under the policy of "open sky". First, we assume the air transportation market as the Nash equilibrium between the carriers and passengers. Second, we formulate the air carriers' and the passengers' behavior and show the Nash type equilibrium conditions. The features of the model are discussed by the numerical computation dealing with the Asian-North American/European air transportation market. We also discuss the impact of the construction of "the super hub airport (s)" on the carriers' behavior and passengers' route choice behavior.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 1999, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu D, 16, 835 - 843

  • Domestic aviation network analysis and aviation policy scenario
    K Kuroda, M Takebayashi, K Hirai
    1999, WORLD TRANSPORT RESEARCH, VOLS 1 TO 4, 265 - 278, English
    [Refereed]
    International conference proceedings

  • Haruna Mamoru, Takebayashi Mikio, Namerikawa Susumu
    This study discussed the development of the algorithm for planning the optimal project carry schedule. In this study, this kind of problem is regarded as the multi project planning problem. In the problem, there are many kinds of constraints/restrictions, such as project sequential restriction and annual budget constraints. We formulated this problem and developed the solution method and the algorithm for solving the problem. Especially, the case where the regional economic system is included in the problem is discussed. At the numerical computation, we dealt with the case where 60 projects are included in the master plan. Then, using our algorithm, the optimal schedule can be taken in the small computation time.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 1998, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu F, 7, 121 - 128

  • HARUNA Mamoru, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    In this paper an optimal programming model is studied for the multi-project planning of the regional development.
    Since the regional planning includes various development projects, it is requested for planners to make the multi-project planning being effective and attractive for the regional development.
    First, to satisfy this request the model is formulated as the multi-project planning model under such restrictions as the budgeting restriction and the sequential restriction by the predetermined project undergoing and payment returning. There are 2 types of the sequential restriction, project undergoing sequence and payment returning sequence. It is very difficult to solve the optimal solution. However, in this paper, the algorithm that gives the optimal solution under such kind of sequential restriction is presented by the methematical way.
    Second, the algorithm to obtain an optimal solution of multi-project planning under the 2 types sequential restriction is developed in the same style as network planning and scheduling algorithm with the resource allocation problem under the resource restriction. The feature of the developed algorithm is,
    1) The original network - the project undergoing network and the payment returning network - is divided to the groups that is consisted by the projects that can be undergone at the same time. This is called as "Cuts". The original network can be reformed as the cuts sequence. This is called as "Cuts network".
    2) The schedule of projects can be obtained by checking feasibility of each resource allocation step by step using cuts and cuts sequence.
    3) Two mathematical tools are used. The optimization in each cut is regarded as the knapsack problem. And the optimization in the cut network is regarded as to find the optimal path in the cut network. This can be solved by using the dynamic programming.
    At last, the model developed here is applied to practical regional development project planning problem in which 14 main projects are planned individually and the request to planner is to obtain optimal total schedule of 14 projects. It is confirmed that the model works well to obtain an optimal solution of the targed problem.
    JAPAN SECTION OF THE REGIONAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATION INTERNATIONAL, 1997, Proceedings of Japan Society of Regional Science, 28(1) (1), 207 - 219

  • KURODA Katuhiko, YANG Zan, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    In this paper, we had made a analysis of container transportation market with a opinion that the market changes as a result of the competition among carrier and shipper. And we formulated the competition as a bi-level Stackerlberg game with carrier as leader and shipper as follower. The validity of the proposed model is verified by providing some numerical computation results based on the practical data of international container cargo movement in Japan. It is also understand that this model provides a method of checking the effectiveness of the port polices of government or port authority.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 1997, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu D, 14, 551 - 558

  • KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASI Mikio, MIHOKI Yoshiyuki
    Air transportation market is analyzed as the Stackelberg equilibria between airlines and passengers. The airlines' behavior is formulated so as to maximize their net revenue while the passengers' behavior is formulated so as to minimize the total travel time. Application to the present domestic transportation network shows the model well fits with the observed. The paper also investigates the equilibrium flow before and after KIX is opened. The computed results say the net revenue of airline company increases if KIX is used as the hub-airport. However, the passengers are made inconvenient in the sense of average travel time increase.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 1997, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu D, 14, 757 - 763

  • Haruna Mamoru, Takebayashi Mikio
    This Study discusses the scheduling problem at the regional comprehensive development planning under the situation that the scale of all project and effect by every project is already given, and some restricts and constraints such as budget restriction, sequence of projects, and so on. And the solution algorithm for that problem is also discussed. Particularly, the annual budget constraint for development under the condition that cost for each project is annually increased is concerned. In this study, the solution algorithm which is the application of Haruna & Namerikawa's solution algorithm for resource allocation problem on the network is discussed, then the mathematical method for optimal project schedule is shown. After all, through the numerical examination, the ability of this algorithm is discussed, and thus it is understood that this algorithm is well for that problem under the computation.
    Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 1997, Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu F, 6, 79 - 86

■ MISC
  • 航空政策研究会 2019年度研究プロジェクト支援 最終報告書 航空自由化がもたらす産業への波及効果 : ASEANを事例として—2019年度研究プロジェクト支援報告
    花岡 伸也, 竹林 幹雄, 石倉 智樹
    航空政策研究会, Oct. 2020, 航政研シリーズ, (653) (653), 1枚,3p,1 - 18, Japanese

  • ASEAN貿易構造の変化とわが国の物流への影響
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Jun. 2016, ひょうご経済アジアビジネスコンパス, 4, 2 - 5, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Introduction commerce magazine

  • 我が国の航空輸送の現状とこれから
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    港湾空港総合技術センター, Mar. 2016, SCOPENET, 74, 3 - 7, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Introduction commerce magazine

  • 羽田国際化が旅客にもたらしたもの－「再国際化の恩恵」についての考察－
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    羽田空港の再国際化に伴い，旅客サービスにどのような得今日が出たのかについて，実際のダイヤグラムなどを用いて解説した．
    公益財団法人入管協会, Sep. 2014, The Immigration Newsmagazine, 27(328) (328), 4 - 9, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Introduction commerce magazine

  • 首都圏空港システムにおける課題と展望
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    後藤・安田記念東京都市研究所, May 2014, 都市問題, 105(105) (105), 9 - 13, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Introduction scientific journal

  • わが国発着国際航空貨物輸送の現状と今後
    竹林 幹雄
    ANAホールディングス ; 1977-, 2014, ていくおふ, (136) (136), 22 - 31, Japanese

  • International Cargo Transport and Domestic Surface Transport in “Kansai” Region
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    本稿では関西における国際輸送の実態・問題点を陸上輸送との関連で検討する．まず，関西の貿易構造について首都圏との比較で検討し，首都圏が輸入超過であるのに対し，関西は輸出入が拮抗していることを指摘した．また，関西では背後圏からのローカル貨物に大きく依存する構造であることも指摘した．つづいて関西の陸上輸送交通網の特徴を整理し，海上輸送との関連では東京湾と異なり大阪湾では岸壁に直接接続する高速道路がほとんどなく，ドレーのために一般街路を走行する距離が長くなることを指摘した．航空輸送では関西空港での連絡橋の風による通行止めの発生など不安定な要素があることを指摘した．最後に米国オークランドでの整備との比較を示し，陸上輸送網の整備が立ち後れていることを示した．
    Japan Society of Traffic Engineering (JSTE), Jul. 2013, Traffic Engineering, 48(3) (3), 28 - 33, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Introduction scientific journal

  • Impact of LCCs on the domestic market and the future
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    運輸調査局, Dec. 2012, Trans[portation & Economy, 2012年12月号59-68(12) (12), 59 - 68, Japanese
    Introduction scientific journal

  • アジアにおけるサプライチェーンの現状とわが国コンテナ港湾政策の方向性
    竹林 幹雄
    Sep. 2012, 港湾, 6-7, Japanese
    Introduction scientific journal

  • 北東アジア近海輸送市場のシームレス化と輸送ビジネスの方向性
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    神戸大学, Feb. 2011, Business Insight, No. 72, p.o-p.14(4) (4), 9 - 14, Japanese
    Introduction scientific journal

  • 羽田空港拡張・再国際化と地方空港
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    東京市政調査会, Jan. 2010, 都市問題研究, Vol. 101, 9-13(1) (1), 9 - 13, Japanese
    Introduction scientific journal

  • 関西３空港下での関西空港における国内航空旅客需要に関する一考察
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    関西空港調査会, May 2009, Kansai空港レビュー, (366) (366), 23 - 26, Japanese
    Report scientific journal

  • Forecasting the Demand of Container Throughput in Indonesia
    Syafi'i, Kuroda Katsuhiko, Takebayashi Mikio
    Kobe University, Nov. 2005, Memoirs of Construction Engineering Research Institute, 47, 69 - 78, English

  • 世界の航空市場の動向とわが国の空港政策
    竹林 幹雄, 黒田 勝彦
    会計検査院事務総長官房上席研究調査官, Sep. 2003, 会計検査研究, (28) (28), 113 - 126, Japanese

  • IMPACT STUDY ON INTRODUCTION OF POST-PANAMAX CONTAINER CARGO VESSEL TO THE ASIAN-PACIFIC-EUROPEAN MARITIME TRANSPORT MARKET
    KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, MUTO Masahiro, OKUBO Takefumi
    土木学会, 20 Jan. 2001, 土木学会論文集 = Proceedings of JSCE, 667, 123 - 136, Japanese

  • 伝説に現れる空間把握に関する基礎的研究 (1993年度〔日本都市計画学会〕学術研究論文集)
    竹林 幹雄, 東 徹, 田名部 淳
    日本都市計画学会, Nov. 1993, 都市計画論文集, (28) (28), p589 - 594, Japanese

■ Books And Other Publications
  • 令和元年台風15号による停電の長期化に伴う影響と風水害に関する総合調査（課題番号：19K24677）調査報告書
    丸山喜久, 竹林幹雄, ほか
    Contributor, 第6章交通分野（研究代表）, Apr. 2020

  • 土木計画学ハンドブック
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Others, コロナ社, Mar. 2017, Japanese, I編3.1.1 [4]ネットワークデザインに関わる基礎数学，II編10章空港計画（主査），10.1 概論，10.3 航空輸送市場分析の基本的視点，10.4 ネットワーク設計と空港計画，11.3.3 [3] モード間競争と港湾を執筆
    Scholarly book

  • Advances in Airline Economics Vol. 5- Airline Efficiency
    James H, Peoples Jr, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Joint work, Emerald Publishing, May 2016, English
    Scholarly book

  • これだけは知っておきたい社会資本アセットマネジメント
    FURUTA Hitoshi, YASUDA Keiichi, KAWATANI Mitsuo, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Joint work, 森北出版, Jul. 2010, Japanese
    Scholarly book

  • 変貌するアジアの交通・物流
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko
    Joint work, 技報堂出版, Feb. 2010, Japanese
    Scholarly book

  • 交通工学
    飯田 恭敬, 北村 隆一, Takebayashi Mikio
    Joint work, オーム社, Nov. 2008, Japanese
    Textbook

  • 『航空の経済学』
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, MURAKAMI Hideki, TAKAHASI Nozomu
    Joint work, ミネルヴァ書房, Mar. 2006, Japanese
    Textbook

■ Lectures, oral presentations, etc.
  • 海上輸送ネットワークの構築と港湾運営
    竹林幹雄
    日本船舶海洋工学会アフターコロナ禍特別研究委員会物流WG, Oct. 2021, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Invited oral presentation

  • Shipper’s Port Choice Behavior in South Viet Nam: Discrete Choice Approach
    Tam Thi Anh Tran, Mikio Takebayashi
    EASTS 2021, Sep. 2021, English
    Oral presentation

  • Assessment of accommodation capacity for aircrafts evacuation against a large volcanic eruption
    Masamitsu Onishi, Koreharu Kurahara, Masato Iguchi, Mikio Takebayashi
    ATRS, Aug. 2021, English
    Oral presentation

  • Air Traffic Management against Stratovolcano Eruption: Analysis of the routes in the event of Taal Volcano eruption
    Aleksandra SOLODOVA, Mikio TAKEBAYASHI
    ATRS, Aug. 2021, English
    Oral presentation

  • アジア主要空港における航空貨物部門の現状と空港の物流機能強化の方向性
    竹林幹雄
    関西空港調査会主催 空港運営と航空貨物に関する研究会, Nov. 2020, Japanese
    [Invited]
    Public discourse

  • Air Traffic Management against Stratovolcano Eruption: Overview of the Policy
    Aleksandra Solodova, Mikio Takebayashi
    第62回土木計画学研究発表会, Nov. 2020, English
    Oral presentation

  • Inviting Cargo Hub and Airport Consortium
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Air Transport Research Society 2019 Amsterdam, Jul. 2019, English, ATRS, VU Amsterdam, Our research purpose is to examine the possibility of forming an airport consortium against the rival airport, particularly, considering the airport charge strategy of the consortium to invite the integrated carrier’s cargo hub. We develop a bi-level model, where in the lower level, we consider the monopolistic carrier’s shipping route choice behavior for minimizing their total, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • CARATS Open Dataに基づいた桜島大規模噴火の航空輸送への影響分析
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    京都大学防災研究所年次セミナー, Feb. 2019, Japanese, 京都大学防災研究所, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Managing the multiple airport system with high speed rail network and the big market of inbound travelers: Case of Tokyo Metropolitan Area
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Air Transport Research Society/ATRS, Jul. 2018, English, Seoul, Korea, This paper identifies practical policies for maintaining workable system composed of air transport and high speed rail (HSR) for handling the surge of inbound travelers, especially from China. We carry out some scenario studies by applying the bi-level air transport model focusing on Tokyo metropolitan area. As a result, we identified practical policies: managing secondary gate, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Economic Advantage/Disadvantage of Oversea Transshipment: Case of Japan-North American Container Cargo Transport Market
    KIMATA JUN, CHOJI MAKOTO, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies/EASTS, Sep. 2017, English, Ho CHi Minh City, Viet Nam, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Managing the Reliever Gateway Airports with High Speed Rail Network
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Air Transport Research Society 2017 (ATRS2017), Jul. 2017, English, Air Transport Research Society (ATRS), Antwerp, Belgium, Our research purpose is to propose through the model analysis an effective way of managing reliever gateway airports when the main gateway airport is completely dysfunctional due to the disaster. In particular, we deal with the case where the main and reliever airports are connected by the high speed rail (HSR), and we discuss the desirable policy direction for the effective su, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Panel data analysis on route choice behavior of Japanese shippers in Japan-ASEAN transport market
    KIMATA JUN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, CHOJI SHIN
    TLOG2016, Sep. 2016, English, National Chiao Tung University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • How to coordinate ports in the region? An approach by the cooperative game
    Thi Anh Tam TRAN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    TLOG2016, Sep. 2016, English, National Chiao Tung University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 我が国の東南アジア航路における港湾選択要因の変化に関する考察
    KIMATA JUN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, CHOJI SHIN
    JACZS, Jul. 2016, Japanese, 高知工科大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Analysis on shipper’s port choice behavior in South Viet Nam
    Thi Anh Tam TRAN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    第53回土木計画学研究発表会, May 2016, English, 北海道大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Optimization of Airport Bundling: How Do Airports Find Better Partners?
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    Air Transport Research Cociety/ATRS, Jul. 2015, English, University of Singapore, Singapore, This paper aims to propose a theoretical framework of the stable airport bundling to maintain local airports in financial difficulties and develop a methodology of forming the stable bundling by measuring its efficiency. In particular, we adopt the theory of stable marriage of cooperative game to form the airport bundling rule considering the behavior of airlines and passengers, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 羽田空港の国際線容量拡張のネットワークへの影響
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    第51回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2015, Japanese, 九州大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • モーダルシフト政策の効果に関する一考察：国内コンテナ定期航路開設の可能性
    HUKAMI HACHIRO, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    第51回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2015, Japanese, 土木学会, 九州大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Analysis of Viet Nam Shipper’s Route Choice Behavior – Implications for Maritime Port Policy
    Thi Anh Tam TRAN, TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    第51回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2015, English, 土木学会, 九州大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 日本発着国際航空貨物輸送市場の現状および課題
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO
    第49回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2014, Japanese, 東北大学，仙台, 本稿では，わが国発着の航空貨物輸送市場の特性を把握するために，ICAO T/Fデータを用いて分析を行った．分析年数は2000年～2011年までの12カ年である．分析の結果，2007年以降は輸送実績は総有償輸送重量，総供給重量ともに減少傾向にあることがわかった．しかし，ロードファクターに関しては輸送実績の上昇に反して大幅な好転は見られないという結果を得た．さらに，供給量変化と価格強い正の相関が認められたのと同時にフレーターの輸送割合の増加との間に負の相関が認められた．, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 離島・島嶼地域における交通サービスレベル評価に関する一考察
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, NAKADE TAKAHIRO
    平成25年度土木学会関西支部年次学術講演会, Jun. 2013, Japanese, 土木学会関西支部, 大阪市立大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 国際航空旅客需要予測におけるMCMC導入に関する一考察
    TAKEBAYASHI MIKIO, KAGEYAMA KENTARO
    平成25年度土木学会関西支部年次学術講演会, Jun. 2013, Japanese, 土木学会関西支部, 大阪市立大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Impact of ASEAN Single Aviation Market: Competition between Low-Cost Carriers and Network Carriers
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, HANAOKA Shinya, ISHIKURA Tomoki
    ATSR 2012, Jul. 2012, English, Air Transport Research Society, Tainan (Taiwan), International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 不確実な需要を考慮した国際航空旅客市場のモデル化
    向井 尋明, Takebayashi Mikio
    第44回土木計画学研究発表会, Nov. 2011, Japanese, 土木学会土木計画学研究委員会, Gifu University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • アジア域内を対象とした近海コンテナ貨物輸送市場モデルの構築
    石原 圭, Takebayashi Mikio
    第44回土木計画学研究発表会, Nov. 2011, Japanese, 土木学会土木計画学研究委員会, Gifu University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • ASEAN 単一航空市場のインパクトの推定
    花岡 伸也, Takebayashi Mikio, 石倉 智樹
    第44回土木計画学研究発表会, Nov. 2011, Japanese, 土木学会土木計画学研究委員会, Gifu University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Entrance of low cost carrier to Eastern Asia Shorthaul market and its impact
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第43回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2011, Japanese, 土木学会土木計画学研究委員会, University of Tsukuba, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Shipper's behavior of port choice in the intra-Asia short sea container transport markets
    ISHIHARA Kei, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    3rd International Conference on Transport and Logistics (T-LOG), Sep. 2010, English, Fukuoka City, International conference
    Poster presentation

  • A time series analysis of intra-Asian charter flight markets from/to Japan
    MUKAI Hiroaki, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第41回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2010, Japanese, 土木学会, 名古屋工業大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Entrance of Low Cost Carriers to Eastern Asia Short Haul Passenger Transport Market and Its Impact
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, ISHIKURA Tomoki
    第41回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2010, Japanese, 土木学会, 名古屋工業大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Shippers' behavior of port choice in the intra-Asian short sea container transport markets
    ISHIHARA Kei, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第41回土木計画学研究発表会, Jun. 2010, Japanese, 土木学会, 名古屋工業大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • ネットワーク均衡分析モデルと航空政策シミュレーション
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    土木計画学ワンデーセミナー シームレスアジア・アフタヌーン・セミナー：変貌するアジアの国際交通, Apr. 2010, Japanese, 土木学会, 土木学会講堂, Domestic conference
    [Invited]
    Invited oral presentation

  • Network Analysis of International Maritime Transportation at the Time of Disaster
    YASUFUKU, Kosuke, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第40回土木計画学研究発表会, Nov. 2009, Japanese, 土木学会, Kanazawa University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Airlines Behavior on Choice of Aircraft Size and Network Design under Runway Capacity Constraint
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第40回土木計画学研究発表会, Nov. 2009, Japanese, 土木学会, Kanazawa University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Methodology and Data for Analyzing Domestic Air Passenger Transport Markets
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第39回土木計画学研究講演会, Jun. 2009, Japanese, 土木学会, Tokushima University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • A Speculation of International Maritime Transportation at the Time of Disaster Considering Route Formation
    YASUFUKU, Kosuke, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第39回土木計画学研究講演会, Jun. 2009, Japanese, 土木学会, Tokushima University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • The Issues of Shutdown of Gateway Port: The Case of Eastern Asia
    Takebayashi Mikio, Yasufuku Kosuke
    IRGC-GCOE Kyoto University Workshop, Jun. 2009, English, IRGC and Kyoto University, Kyoto, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Design of the emergency shipping network and its application
    Takebayashi Mikio, Yasufuku Kosuke
    Research Seminar on Global Critical Infrastructure Systems, Jun. 2009, English, 京都大学防災研究所, Kyoto, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 品目別貨物フローに着目した国際海上コンテナ輸送市場モデルの構築
    YOKOO Toshihiro, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第38回土木計画学研究講演会, Nov. 2008, Japanese, 土木学会, 和歌山, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 滑走路容量の影響を考慮した航空会社の機材選択・ネットワーク形成に関するモデル分析
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第38回土木計画学研究講演会, Nov. 2008, Japanese, 土木学会, 和歌山, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • メガ・ターミナル・オペレータが参入したコンテナターミナルの生産効率性に関する実証研究
    YAGI Daisuke, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第38回土木計画学研究講演会, Nov. 2008, Japanese, 土木学会, 和歌山, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Evaluating the hub-spokes network for air cargo transport: single hub vs. dual hub
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    T-LOG 2008 Seminar, Oct. 2008, English, Tokoname, Japan, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 品目別貨物フローに着目したアジア発着国際海上コンテナ輸送に関する一考察
    YOKOO Toshihiro, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第37回土木計画学研究講演会, Jun. 2008, Japanese, 土木学会, 北海道, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 構造物アセットマネジメントにおける便益と費用の計測について
    TAKEBAYASHI, Mikio
    建設コンサルタンツ協会近畿支部アセットマネジメント研究委員会, Dec. 2007, Japanese, 大阪市, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 九州発着近距離国際航空旅客市場のシミュレーション化
    SAKAUE, Satoshi, TAKEBAYASHI, Mikio
    第36回土木計画学研究講演会, Nov. 2007, Japanese, 土木学会, 八戸工業大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Sketching New International Air Transport Market: How will Airline’s Strategy Change After the Internationalization of HND
    ISHIKURA, Tomoki, TAKEBAYASHI, Mikio
    1st International Seminar on Airline and Airport Management, Oct. 2007, English, Kyoto University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • Competitiveness of Japanese Airports in Pacific Gateway
    TAKEBAYASHI, Mikio
    1st International Seminar on Airline and Airport Management, Oct. 2007, English, Kyoto University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • シームレス・アジア時代における空港のゲートウェイ機能評価のための分析手法
    TAKEBAYASHI, Mikio, TSUDA, Shunsuke
    第35回土木計画学研究講演会, Jun. 2007, Japanese, 土木学会, Kyushu University, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 国際航空輸送市場のシミュレーションモデル化
    SAKAUE Satoshi, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第34回土木計画学研究講演会, Dec. 2006, Japanese, 香川大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 羽田空港における国際路線導入による航空市場への影響に関する基礎的分析
    ISHIKURA Tomoki, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, SHIMOYAMA Akihiro
    第34回土木計画学研究講演会, Dec. 2006, Japanese, 土木学会, 香川大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • ローコストキャリア参入市場の特性分析：北米国内市場を対象として
    EKAWA Makoto, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, TSUDA Shunsuke
    第34回土木計画学研究講演会, Dec. 2006, Japanese, 土木学会, 香川大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 寡占市場でのコンテナ貨物流動予測モデルと評価 -多階層均衡アプローチ-
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    土木学会関西支部「国際競争下における関西の港湾物流に関する研究委員会」講習会, Jul. 2006, Japanese, 土木学会関西支部, 大阪, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 複数空港時代における空港間の機能分担：ネットワークデザインの視点から
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第33回土木計画学研究講演会, Jun. 2006, Japanese, 土木学会, 東北大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Network Equilibria Model of International Maritime Container Transport Market: Oligopoly Market
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, MIYAMOTO Hazuki, IWAI Takamasa
    1st Kobe Oxford International Maritime Seminar, May 2006, English, Kobe University, Kobe University, International conference
    Oral presentation

  • 航路再編の影響を検討するための国際海上コンテナ貨物輸送市場モデルの構築
    MIYAMOTO Hazuki, KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, HARA Shingo
    第32回土木計画学研究・講演会, Dec. 2005, Japanese, 土木学会, 宮崎大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 観光行動に着目した将来航空需要予測のための基礎的研究
    NAKAMURA Yosuke, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, YOSHIDA Ikumi
    第32回土木計画学研究・講演会, Dec. 2005, Japanese, 土木学会, 宮崎大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Bi-level問題としてみた国内航空旅客市場モデルの構築
    TSUDA Shunsuke, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko, OSONE Kai
    第32回土木計画学研究・講演会, Dec. 2005, Japanese, 土木学会, 宮崎大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 国際海上輸送におけるゲートウェイ機能の移動と港湾政策
    HARA Shingo, KURODA Katsuhiko, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第31回土木計画学研究・講演会, May 2005, Japanese, 土木学会, 広島大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • わが国国内航空旅客輸送市場へのLCC参入に関する一考察
    TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    第31回土木計画学研究・講演会, May 2005, Japanese, 土木学会, 広島大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 複数ハブ空港下におけるリスケジューリング法に関する研究
    溝端 翔平, 竹林 幹雄, 黒沢 直紀
    第30回土木計画学研究・講演会, 2004, Japanese, 土木計画学研究委員会, 未記入, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 世界の空港輸送市場の動向と日本の政策について
    竹林 幹雄
    建設工学研究所学術講演会, 2004, Japanese, (財)建設工学研究所, 未記入, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 国際海上コンテナ輸送市場モデルの開発：定期航路におけるループの戦略的再編
    原 進吾, 竹林 幹雄, 金井 仁志, 黒田 勝彦
    第30回土木計画学研究・講演会, 2004, Japanese, 土木計画学研究委員会, 未記入, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 国際海運における空コンテナ取り扱いのモデル化
    竹林 幹雄, 小八重 晴子, 原 進吾, 黒田 勝彦
    第30回土木計画学研究・講演会, 2004, Japanese, 土木計画学研究委員会, 未記入, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 関西3空港における需要推計モデルの構築
    三船 善和, 竹林 幹雄, 黒田 勝彦
    第30回土木計画学研究・講演会, 2004, Japanese, 土木計画学研究委員会, 未記入, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • Current Topics of International Maritime Transport and Port Management
    竹林 幹雄
    JICAプログラム,近畿地方整備局, 2004, Japanese, 未記入, 未記入, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 振り子型輸送を考慮した国際海上コンテナ輸送市場モデルの開発
    金井 仁志, 竹林 幹雄, 黒田 勝彦, 藤田 智喜
    第28回土木計画学研究・発表会, 2003, Japanese, 土木学会, 豊橋技術科学大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 航空旅客輸送市場におけるネットワーク競争のモデル化
    片山 祐陽, 竹林 幹雄
    第28回土木計画学研究・発表会, 2003, Japanese, 土木学会, 豊橋技術科学大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

  • 航空旅客輸送における最適スケジュール調整手法に関する研究
    黒沢 直紀, 竹林 幹雄
    第28回土木計画学研究・発表会, 2003, Japanese, 土木学会, 豊橋技術科学大学, Domestic conference
    Oral presentation

■ Affiliated Academic Society
  • 日本海運経済学会

  • Transportation and Logistics (TLOG)

  • 東アジア交通学会(EASTS)

  • 米国オペレーションズリサーチ学会(INFORMS)

  • 航空研究学会(ATRS)

  • 世界交通会議（WCTR)

  • 国際地域学会(RSAI)

  • 応用地域学会

  • 地域学会

  • 土木学会

■ Research Themes
  • 大規模火山噴火による航空輸送への影響把握のための予測システムの開発
    竹林 幹雄, 大西 正光, 井口 正人
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業, 挑戦的研究(萌芽), 神戸大学, 09 Jul. 2021 - 31 Mar. 2024
    本研究課題では3カ年の研究期間の中で以下の研究を遂行する．(i) 大規模噴火発生による航空機の被災状況把握のための動的シミュレーションシステムの構築，(ii) 最適（ないしは次善）フライトコントロール策定のための潜在的フライトコントロール方法の推定，(iii) 最適（ないしは次善）フライトコントロール実施時に発生する危険回避行動の動的把握，避行先空港施設で要求される整備水準の推定並びに望ましい空港整備水準の検討，の3点を行う． 令和3年度は研究初年度であり，(i)に示した噴火シミュレーションと実態レベルのフライトデータの融合による動的シミュレーションモデルの開発を中心に行う．具体的には，シミュレーションのベースとなる行動モデル同定のため，2020年1月フィリピン・ルソン島に位置するタール山の噴火を対象として，火山灰の影響範囲をヒマワリ8ならびにVAAC東京のデータを元に特定し，Flightradar24の航空データについて平時と噴火時の空路変更の特性分析を行った．ここではHDBSCANという密度ベースの新しいクラスタリング手法を経路間の距離をFrechet距離で計測した値を元に適用した．適用に関しては2020年1月の1ヶ月間のフライトデータのうち120便に関して1ヶ月間の行動について分析した．結果として噴火後24時間以内ではサンプリングされたフライトの70％に当たるフライトがキャンセルないしは経路変更を行っていることがわかった．しかし24時間経過時点でのキャンセル・回避経路への変更か通常空路かの意思決定が分かれるという結果を得た．

  • Investigation of the effects of long-term power outage due to the 2019 typhoon Faxai
    Yoshihisa Maruyama
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Grant-in-Aid for Special Purposes, Chiba University, 09 Oct. 2019 - 31 Mar. 2021
    A powerful typhoon Faxai, the 15th typhoon in 2019, made landfall in Tokyo’s neighboring Chiba Prefecture around 5:00 a.m. on September 9. It caused severe structural damage especially in the southwestern part of Chiba Prefecture. It also triggered extensive and continued power outage in Chiba Prefecture. Power supply was disrupted at approximately 640 thousand houses in Chiba Prefecture as of 10:30 am on September 9. The power failure continued for about two weeks mainly in the southern part of Chiba Prefecture. In this study, various functional and structural damage caused by this typhoon was investigated. In Japan, it is anticipated that extensive power outages may occur after the Tokyo Inland and the Nankai Trough earthquakes in the near future. This study will be helpful to establish a resilient water supply system against future earthquakes.

  • 竹林 幹雄
    科学研究費補助金／基盤研究(B), Apr. 2018 - Mar. 2021, Principal investigator
    Competitive research funding

  • 竹林 幹雄
    科学研究費補助金／基盤研究(B), Apr. 2015 - Mar. 2018, Principal investigator
    Competitive research funding

  • 竹林 幹雄
    科学研究費補助金／基盤研究(B), Apr. 2012 - Mar. 2015, Principal investigator
    Competitive research funding

  • Risk Governance Strategy for Global Critical Infrastructure under Threat of Natural Disasters
    TATANO Hirokazu, OKADA Norio, ISHIKAWA Hirohiko, MASE Hajime, HATAYAMA Michinori, YOKOMATSU Muneta, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, TSUCHIYA Satoshi, KAJITANI Yoshio, NOJIMA Nobuoto, MATSUSHIMA Kakuya, HIDESHIMA Eizo, YOSHIDA Mamoru
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A), Kyoto University, 2008 - 2012
    Focusing on global critical infrastructure such as ports and harbors which have a hub-function in international trade networks, risk governance strategies are analyzed as an interdependent security problem. A theoretical framework to analyze the risk government strategies is proposed and an methodology to conduct an empirical analysis is developed. As a case study, the Strait of Malacca is focused and comprehensive analysis including economic impact of the stoppage of the navigation in the strait is analyzed. Based on the result of the analysis, recommendations to improve the risk governancein the Strait of Malacca are proposed.

  • A Methodology for Policy Impact Analysis of International Air Transport Market under Incompletely Deregulated Condition
    ISHIKURA Tomoki, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), 2007 - 2009
    Since it is meaningful to evaluate the policy alternatives with physical outputs such as flight frequencies and passenger's link flow under physical constraints, this article aims to propose a methodology for the policy assessment in terms of the air transport network equilibrium and apply the methodology to policy scenario analysis. Our simulation results imply that the behavior of the short range markets such as Tokyo-Seoul routes are sensitive to the number of international slot capacity of Haneda Airport. The analysis also estimates the influences on the markets by some "destination selection rules" with physical outputs.

  • 黒田 勝彦
    科学研究費補助金／基盤研究(B), 2005
    Competitive research funding

  • Network equilibrium analysis on international regular container cargo transport and policy evaluation of port development/management
    KURODA Katsuhiko, MORITSU Hideo, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Kobe University, 1998 - 2001
    This research aims to develop the equilibrium model of international container cargo transport market and evaluate the policy of port development/management. First, we develop the equilibrium model, which is consisted of two economic subjects, the carriers and shippers. In this model, it is assumed that the carriers aim to minimize their operation cost under the existence of shippers' Nash equilibrium. And the shippers are also assumed to behave myopically, so their aim is to minimize their generalized cost. Using the developed model, we estimate the future network of Asian-Pacific-European container cargo transport The shape of resultant network is hub-spoke network, which means large vessels and transshipment cargo are concentrated to a couple of big ports. Especially, the Hanshin, the Pusan and the Singapore port enjoy the role as the gateway ports for the intercontinental transport. Moreover, it is understood that the Hanshin and the Pusan have a tight rivalry, so this rivalry is emphasized by their own port management policies, say port capacity extension and port charge pricing. Second, we evaluate the impact of introduction of Post-Panamax class large vessels. Under this situation, the hierarchy of Asian ports is emphasized more strongly, so that the Hong Kong and the Pusan have the market dominance. Finally, we evaluate the possibility of use of the Siberian Land Bridge as the alternative route of sea route. We concluded that under the current situation, there is no way to use the Siberian Land Bridge as the alternative route of sea route because of its high pricing on the railway transport, slow speed of transport on railway and the serious shortness of capability of container cargo handling at Vostchny port.

  • 地域開発における事業の実現性を確保した地域経営手法の開発に関する研究
    竹林 幹雄
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業, 奨励研究(A), 神戸大学, 1998 - 1999
    本研究は,今後地方分権化が進行する中で,地方自治体による合理的な地域経営実現のための,特に開発事業の実現性を確保した計画手法の開発を行うことを目的とする.そのために,i)地方部における地域構造を適切に把握するための基礎モデルの開発,ii)事業実現性を確保した計画立案手法,すなわち事業実施スケジュールの最適化手法の開発を行う.そして,上記を統合した地域経営・財政シミュレーションシステムを開発し,その実用性について検討する. 平成11年度における研究として,以下に示す項目を行った. 1)平成10年度に開発したモデルに,さらに交通量の分布・配分同時決定モデルの導入を検討した.これにより,交通量の変動が長期的に地域の開発行為に与える影響を予測することが可能となった. 2)昨年度開発したモデルの求解アルゴリズムの改良を行い,より高速でなおかつ大規模な計算を行うことを可能にした. 3)開発したモデルに対して,その実用性の検討を行った.ケーススタディとして,昨年度と同様に平成8年に拠点都市整備法適用を受けた滋賀県彦根市およびその周辺の地域経営を取り上げた.そして,提示されている代替案ごとにその長期的影響を予測し,計画立案への支援情報とすることを検討した.

  • シュタッケルベルグ均衡問題として見た航空ネットワークシステム計画
    竹林 幹雄
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業, 奨励研究(A), 神戸大学, 1996 - 1996
    本研究における研究成果を以下に示す. 1)キャリヤ-が1社の場合について航空旅客輸送市場をシュタッケルベルグ問題として定式化することができた. 2)国内・国際旅客のOD需要に関する推計モデルについての整理を行った. 3)キャリヤ-の最適機材運用計画を緻密化できた. 4)大規模航空ネットワークにおける解法アルゴリズムを開発することができた. 5)1991年時点における国内旅客の流動およびキャリヤ-の配便計画の再現を行い,モデルの精度が極めて高いことが確認された. 6)1994年時点での国内旅客流動とキャリヤ-の配便計画について検討し,地方空港間のサービスフライトを極力廃止し,主要空港(羽田,伊丹,関西空港)を起終点とするハブアンドスポ-ク型ネットワークを導入することでキャリヤ-の利潤が極大化されることが分かった.しかし,全旅客に対する航空旅客数,および一人当たりの平均旅行時間は増加することが分かった. 7)伊丹空港存廃について検討し,廃止することによる旅客の旅行時間の増加,航空利用客の減少が生じることが分かった.この結果,必ずしも伊丹空港を廃止することが望ましくないことが分かった. 8)2010年時点における国内・国際旅客流動を推計し,国内においては羽田空港に,国際においては成田空港および関西空港に配便が集中することが分かった. 9)また,中部新国際空港導入についての検討を行った.その結果,国際旅客輸送に関して需要が高いことが分かった.

  • A Study on the Application of Baysian Approach to the Route Guidance System Planning
    MORITSU Hideo, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KURODA Katsuhiko
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Kobe University, 1995 - 1996
    The purpose of this study is to make the influence which route choice behaivior by driver gives the network flow in route guidance clear. We made route choice behavior model to compose from the link travel time estimate model, the route change model and the route choice model. The link travel time estimate model corrects probability distribution about the travel time using Baysian approach. The route change model gives the opportunity of the route reconsideration and the route choice model decides a change into the new route from the present plan route. Using developed route choice behavior model, it executed the simulation of route guidance system for the city place in Kobe City. It did the simulation when not implementing route guidance to fix a parameter and it compared link traffic volume with the observation value. As a result, in spite of the dealing with the peak time, the link traffic volumes suited observation values. The simulation result when implementing route guidance showed a thing with the low reliability of the traffic information by the assumed route guidance system. However, if making add this traffic information to the data of the judgment for route choice behavior, the induction car never became disadvantageous. This is the result by which the possibility to cancel the problem when an induction car is increased is suggestive.

  • 地域特性を考慮した地域計画のためのデータベース作成に関する基礎的研究
    竹林 幹雄
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業, 奨励研究(A), 神戸大学, 1993 - 1993
    本年度に研究を行った結果,次のようなことが知見として得られた. まず,村落空間の構造を民俗学における把握の1基本型である「ムラ・ノラ・ハラ」モデルと,文化人類学において指摘された「中心・周縁」モデルとの関係を考察し,さらに伝説に対する構造分析の結果を考慮することで,村落における心理的な空間把握モデルを仮定することができた.次に,研究対象地域を滋賀県北西部(湖北地方)および兵庫県西南部(播磨地方)として事例研究を行った.この時,伝説に語られる場所やものの村落内での分布状況に着目した.結果として,村落の構造上,等質な空間と考えられてきたムラ・ノラ・ハラの中にも,不連続で異質な部分が等質な空間を寸断する形として内包されていることがわかった.さらにそれらが境界性を有しているものであることがわかった.以上のことから村落のコスモロジーを実在空間と心理的空間の2様の関係から把握することができた.また,異質なものとして認知された地物が村落の中で特定の境界を示すランドマークであり,村落の住民と境界を示すランドマークとの心理的な関わり方を定性的に把握することができた.さらに伝説が集中的に語られる場所は,村落の歴史上極めて重要な境界を示すものであることがわかった.特に,隣接する村落ないしは(藩制村でいう)郷との関係の深さ,敷延すれば地域内の村落間,字間の心理的な連携の深さを示す可能性があると推察された.一方,伝説に語られる地物は地形的な変化の端緒に位置する場合が相当数あることがわかった.このことから,村落の住民から見た景観の重要性を知るための情報源としても伝説などの民俗情報を位置づけることの有意性を示した.最後に,データベース化を図るに当たり,伝説に語られる(イメージの集中する)要素を地形別・形態別に整理することを検討した.

  • 3-Levelシュタッケルベルグ均衡による空港ネットワークの最適計画法の開発
    黒田 勝彦, 竹林 幹雄, 福島 徹, 森津 秀夫
    日本学術振興会, 科学研究費助成事業, 一般研究(C), 神戸大学, 1993 - 1993
    空港の整備計画は,建設主体(政府),空港に機材を乗り入れるキャリヤー及び航空利用者(乗客及び貨物の荷主)の行動が均衡するように計画されることが望ましい。本研究では,上記3者が互いに有する情報に格差があることに着目した。すなわち,政府はキャリヤーの最適行動(乗り入れ空港,使用機材,便数の最適化行動)及び,利用者の最適行動(モード選択,空港選択の最適化)を情報として知っている。したがって,これらの最適行動を前提として空港の位置,規模を最適化するように計画できる。しかし,キャリヤーは利用者の最適行動を知っているものの政府が計画する空港の場所や施設規模が与えられないと自身の最適行動が決定できない。また,利用者は空港の位置(政府の戦略),航路および便数(キャリヤーの戦略)を知らない限り自身の最適化行動が図れない。本研究では,このような情報の格差に起因する最適行動格差をレベルの異なる3者のゲーム行動と見なして最適空港ネットワークを計画するモデルを開発した。本計画モデルでは,政府が空港建設費および空港利用者の時間費用の和を最小化するように行動し,キャリヤーは資材運用によって得られる利益(運賃収入-運用コスト)を最大化するように行動し,利用者は時間費用が最小になるように行動する,という前提で,空港利用市場で3者が均衡する解を発見し,政府の最適戦略(空港の場所,整備規模)とした。モデルは旅客OD分布が与えられている場合の簡単な空港ネットワークに適用され,シュタッケルベルグ均衡解を求めるアルゴリズムを開発し,3者の最適化行動が均衡する場合の種々の傾向について検討を行った。検討の結果,従来の計画法のように,新規空港の場所や規模およびキャリヤーの行動(便数・航路・機材の種類)を仮定した旅客の需要予測は大きく実際と異なること,従ってこの需要予測に基づいた空港の位置の妥当性や規模計画の妥当性ははなはだ疑問であることを指摘できた。しかし,現在の解法では実際規模のネットワークに拡大した場合の解の探索に時間がかかり過ぎること,キャリヤーが複数存在してキャリヤー同士が競争する現実を具体的にモデルに反映できていない点等が課題として残されている。

  • Planning Research of the Basic Facilities for Active Local Area
    SASAKI Tsuna, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KAWASAKI Masashi, AKIYAMA Takamasa, INOUE Noriyuki, IGARASHI Hideo
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Grant-in-Aid for Co-operative Research (A), KYOTO UNIVERSITY, 1992 - 1993
    The program of the planning was demonstrated this year on the base of the last year's result. First we developed the method to describe the characteristic of the local area from a local linguistic media such as local legends or folk tales. It was applied to a case of the real local area and leads to a new concept to regional planning. (by Sasaki, Inoue and Takebayashi) Also we developed the another method to describe the consept of the planning. The LOGMAP method was applied to the same case. It is evident that the method is effective to regional planning. Next we tried to make an model to describe the relation between the local cultural characteristics and active infranstructure. This model was applied to the real local facilities. It is not only effective to the planning but also to the regional design works. (by Kawasaki and Takebayashi) Last all results was collected to the cultural slimate analysis. We described the meaning and role for regional planning or design works. And we summarized all results and show some problems of this study. We will try to continue to solve some problems for regional plannings.

  • A System of Transfer Expressway
    SASAKI Tsuna, TAKEBAYASHI Mikio, KAWASAKI Masashi, AKIYAMA Takamasa, IGARASHI Hideo, INOUE Noriyuki
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C), KYOTO UNIVERSITY, 1991 - 1992
    This study proposes a system of transfer expressway under temporary volumes and techniqus of traffic information. Main results are as below. 1. Application of Neural Network model Neural network is used for its estimation in the study. Dynamic change of traffic congestion is investigated to know typical shape. A parabola is observed from empirical congestion data. Second, nueral network approach is introduced with two types of back propagation argolithms. Third, day volume of traffic congestion is estimated by nueral model. It gives much better fitness than linear regression medel. The varidity of prediction by neuro model is shown from some empirical results. Fourth, traffic volume influence to traffic congestion is also analyzed as an application of the proposal model. 2. The frequency of transfer expressway In the case of one point transfer expressway, the effect reduction on congestion is small, in the case of two points it is much better. It suggests that many points of transfer will make the congestion much less. 3. Reduction of travel time If the proposed system is used, all travel times of balanced routes will be reduced under application of the model.

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