Directory of Researchers

KINUGASA Tomoko
Graduate School of Economics / Division of Economics
Professor
Business / Economics
Last Updated :2020/06/28

Researcher Profile and Settings

Affiliation

  • <Faculty / Graduate School / Others>

    Graduate School of Economics / Division of Economics
  • <Related Faculty / Graduate School / Others>

    Faculty of Economics / Department of Economics

Teaching

Research at Kobe

Research Activities

Research Interests

  • Agricultural policy
  • Population policy

Research Areas

  • Humanities & social sciences / Economic policy
  • Humanities & social sciences / Economic policy

Awards

  • Mar. 2017 一般財団法人 村尾育英会, 第34回村尾育英会学術賞, 人口減少時代の持続可能な地域経済

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Publisher

  • 2016 地域農林経済学会, 地域農林経済学会賞, Yamaguchi, Mitoshi and Kinugasa, Tomoko, Economic Analyses Using the Overlapping Generations Model and General Equilibrium Growth Accounting for the Japanese Economy: Population, Agriculture and Economic Development, World Scientific, 2014.

    山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Japan society

  • 2013 神戸大学大学教育推進機構, 全学共通教育ベストティーチャー賞, 現代の経済(グローバル共通科目)

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Others

  • 2013 Social Science Research Council, 安倍フェローシップ, Population Aging, Education and Economic Growth: Comparative Research between Japan and the United States

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Publisher

Published Papers

  • 二つの人口ボーナスの貯蓄と経済成長への影響に関する計量的研究

    衣笠智子

    Mar. 2020, 国民経済雑誌, 221 (3), 17 - 28

  • Challenges for China’s economic development: the saving glut and policy implication

    Kevin Luo, Tomoko Kinugasa

    Jan. 2020, International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, 14 (1), 44 - 75, English

    [Refereed]

  • 温州みかんの栄枯盛衰に関する計量的分析

    松尾隆策 山口三十四 衣笠智子

    Sep. 2019, 国民経済雑誌, 220 (3), 75 - 87

  • 日本農業の技術効率性と過剰投入に関する地域別分析―DEAおよびクラスカル・ワリス検定を用いた計量的研究

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, 髙松 良樹

    Apr. 2018, 国民経済雑誌, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 市町村の人口と財政支出に関する計量的考察

    岡田 修一, KINUGASA TOMOKO, 山口 三十四

    2018, 経済政策ジャーナル, 13 (1,2), Japanese

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • Yukio Fukumoto, Tomoko Kinugasa

    This study focuses on the relationship between age structure and trade openness. We hypothesise that a higher share of the working-age population in the total population increases trade openness, because the dependent population tends to spend more than the working-age population on non-tradable goods such as education and medical services. We estimate the effects of age structure on trade openness using panel data for 85 countries from 1991 to 2010. The empirical results show that the share of the working-age population has a positive effect on trade openness. An increase in the share of the working-age population is considered to be one factor that contributed to an increase in trade openness in the sample period.

    WILEY, Jun. 2017, WORLD ECONOMY, 40 (6), 1247 - 1263, English

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • 中国における畜産物生産の地域区分と技術効率性ークラスター分析および確率的フロンティア生産関数分析による実証的研究

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, 姚万軍

    May 2017, 国民経済雑誌, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • An Empirical Analysis of Marital Status in Japan

    Koji Yasuda, KINUGASA TOMOKO, Shigeyuki Hamori

    2017, Singapore Economic Review, English

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • 松尾 隆策, 山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    神戸大学経済経営学会, Nov. 2016, 国民経済雑誌, 214 (5), 17 - 27, Japanese

    Research institution

  • 日本における農業発展と農協

    中下 正綱, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    May 2016, 国民経済雑誌, Japanese

    Research institution

  • 日本の農業政策の展望

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    2016, Discussion Paper, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Japanese

    Research society

  • 道の駅の歴史的展開

    松尾 隆策, 山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    2016, Discussion Paper, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Japanese

    Research society

  • 道の駅の理論的背景

    松尾 隆策, 山口 三十四, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    2016, Discussion Paper, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Japanese

    Research society

  • Wanjun Yao, Han Wu, Tomoko Kinugasa

    In this study, we test for convergence in financial development and economic growth in China's financial deepening reform process by using system GMM method. The results show strong evidence of the mutually interactive and systematic relationship between financial development and economic growth, and the system is in a condition of long-run divergence. The main cause of divergence in the system changed after 2008 from financial depression to asset price expansion. This study provides evidence that the government should intensify financial deepening reforms and pay attention to financial resource flows to prevent excessive asset price expansion.

    ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2015, EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, 51, S275 - S284, English

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • An Empirical Analysis of Marital Status in Japan

    Koji Yasuda, KINUGASA TOMOKO, Shigeyuki Hamori

    2015, Paper Presented at the Singapore Economic Review Conference, English

    Symposium

  • 日本における農業予算と農業生産構造ー都道府県データを用いた計量的研究ー

    耿 業涵, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Dec. 2014, 国民経済雑誌, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • Depopulation and importance of agriculture in Japan: implications from the overlapping generations and general equilibrium growth accounting model

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, YAMAGUCHI MITOSHI

    Dec. 2013, Economics & Finance Research, 1, English

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • Motivation for Rural–Urban Interchanges: Empirical Research Based on Questionnaires among Agricultural Farms in Nose Town, Osaka Prefecture, Japan

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, 山口 三十四, 中川 雅嗣

    2013, 農林業問題研究, Japanese

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • Wanjun Yao, Tomoko Kinugasa, Shigeyuki Hamori

    China has experienced a dramatic demographic transition since the latter half of the twentieth century, and thus, assessing the global economic implications is an important issue. This article uses time-series data on China to estimate the determinants of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. According to the results of the presented co-integration analysis, population has a significantly negative impact on GDP per capita, while savings rate, total factor productivity and degree of industrialization have significantly positive impacts on GDP per capita. These results suggest that the share of the working-age population relative to the total population does not have a strong influence on GDP per capita. Therefore, the contribution of the working-age population to economic growth might not be as large as previously assumed. It is also possible that an increase in savings, remarkable industrialization and rapid technological progress have all stimulated economic growth in China greatly. © 2013 Taylor and Francis.

    2013, Applied Economics, 45 (33), 4651 - 4661, English

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • 日本小麦の全要素生産性とその収束―パネル単位根検定を用いた計量分析

    NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi

    May 2012, 国民経済雑誌, 第205巻第5号, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • The International Transmission of Price Levels during the Classical Gold Standard Period: Evidence from the UK and the US

    FUKUMOTO Yukio, KINUGASA Tomoko

    2012, EconModels, English

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • 中国内モンゴルにおける畜産物生産成長の要因分析

    Wanjun Yao, Mitoshi Yamaguchi, Tomoko Kinugasa

    2011, 国民経済雑誌, 第203巻第5号, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 日本農業の技術効率性と収束--マルムクイスト指数およびパネル単位根検定を用いた計量的研究

    TAKAMATU Yoshiki, KINUGASA Tomoko

    2010, 経済政策ジャーナル, 第7巻第1号, Japanese

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • 日本の都道府県別食料自給率の決定と農業生産構造

    YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko

    2010, 農林業問題研究, 第46巻第3号, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 中国内モンゴルにおける生態移民の農家所得と効率性

    ONIKI Shunji, KAGATSUME Masaru, XI Shuang, GEN Suo, KINUGASA Tomoko

    2010, 国際開発研究, 第19号第2巻, Japanese

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係 : 兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究

    Shuichi Okada, Tomoko Kinugasa, Mitoshi Yamaguchi

    2010, 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係 : 兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究, 第202巻第5号, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 地方自治体における居住地選択と住環境の相互依存関係 : 兵庫県市町村と都道府県データを用いた計量的研究

    OKADA Shuichi, KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi

    2010, 国民経済雑誌, 第202巻第5号, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 兼業化・規模拡大と日本農業成長―同時方程式による実証研究

    Kinugasa Tomoko

    2007, 農林業問題研究, 掲載予定, Japanese

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • Tomoko Kinugasa, Andrew Mason

    We analyze steady-state and out-of-steady-state effects of the transition in adult longevity on the national saving rate using historical data and international panel data. The rise in adult life expectancy has a large and statistically significant effect on aggregate saving. The effects have been especially pronounced in East Asia because its mortality transition was very rapid. Gains in life expectancy are much more important than declines in child dependency. Population aging may not lead to lower saving rates in the future if life expectancy and the duration of retirement continue to increase. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, Jan. 2007, WORLD DEVELOPMENT, 35 (1), 1 - 23, English

    [Refereed]

    Scientific journal

  • 日本における人口変化と経済成長

    Kinugasa Tomoko

    2006, 経済学研究, 掲載予定, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 成人寿命の増加と国民貯蓄率に関する実証研究

    Kinugasa Tomoko

    2006, 国民経済雑誌, 第194巻第3号、2006年、pp.57-74, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 寿命による退職行動の変化および国民貯蓄率に対する影響

    衣笠 智子

    Dec. 2004, 国民経済雑誌, 90巻第6号, Japanese

    Scientific journal

  • 人口諸変数の経済成長に対する貢献―都道府県データによる実証研究―

    Kinugasa Tomoko

    Oct. 2002, 国民経済雑誌, 第186巻第4号 pp.95-108, Japanese

    Scientific journal

MISC

  • 養父市の国家戦略特区の効果の検証に関する報告書

    衣笠智子、衛藤彬史、安田公治

    Mar. 2020, 養父市

  • 人口減少の原因と経済への影響および対策について

    衣笠智子

    Nov. 2019, オムニ・マネジメント

  • 温州みかんの需給に関する計量的分析―温州みかんの栄枯盛衰―

    松尾隆策、山口三十四、衣笠智子

    2019, Discussion Paper、神戸大学大学院経済学研究科

  • 経済政策論の知識を活かして―能勢町との協力型共同研究の経験

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    2016, 経済学・経営学学習のために, Japanese

    Report research institution

  • Age Structure and Trade Openness: An Empirical Investigation

    Yukio Fukumoto, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Jun. 2015, East-West Center Working Papers: Environment, Population, and Health Series, (7), English

    Others

  • 人口と経済に関する一考察―年齢構成の重要性と一般均衡的成長会計分析モデル

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    Oct. 2012, 学習のために, 平成24年度後期号、pp.63-72, Japanese

    Others

  • 書評:Shripad Tuljapurkar, Naohiro Ogawa, Anne H. Gauthier (eds.), Ageing in Advanced Industrial States: Riding the Age Waves - Volume 3 (International Studies in Population)

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    May 2011, 人口学研究, 第47号, Japanese

    Others

  • 日本の人口動態と経済成

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    2010, 国際問題, No.593, Japanese

    Introduction scientific journal

  • Life Expectancy, Labor Force and Saving (Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Hawaii, USA)

    衣笠 智子

    2004, 未記入, 未記入, English

    Others

Books etc

  • Economic Growth and Transition of Industrial Structure in East Asia

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, Linhui Yu, Qiang Chen, Zhixuan Feng

    Joint work, Springer, 2018, English

    Dictionary or encycropedia

  • セオリー&プラクティス 経済政策 (第7章 農業政策)

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Others, 有斐閣, Mar. 2017, Japanese

    Textbook

  • Routledge Handbook of Asian Demography

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Others, Routledge, 2017, English

    Scholarly book

  • Economic Analyses Using the Overlapping Generations Model and General Equilibrium Growth Accounting for the Japanese Economy: Population, Agriculture and Economic Development

    YAMAGUCHI MITOSHI, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Joint work, World Scientific, May 2014, English

    Scholarly book

  • 能勢町における農業振興に関する調査研究 最終報告書

    YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, KINUGASA Tomoko, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu

    Joint work, 大阪府豊能郡能勢町, Mar. 2012, Japanese

    Report

  • ハンドブック経済学(第13章 人口政策)

    Tomoko Kinugasa

    Joint work, ミネルヴァ書房, 2011, Japanese

    Textbook

Presentations

  • Determinants of Urban Population’s Local Migration and Lifestyle Changes in Japan

    Etsusaku Shimada and Tomoko Kinugasa

    The 18 th International Conference of the Japan Economic Policy Association, 17 Nov. 2019, English

  • How different are demographic impacts on trade openness by geographic region? : Findings from Europe, Asia, America, and Africa

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, Yukio Fukumoto

    the 94th Annual Conference, Western Economic Association International, Jul. 2019, English, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • 年齢構成と貿易開放度に関する地域別分析

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, 福本 幸男

    日本人口学会 第70回大会, Jun. 2018, Japanese, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • Do natural disasters influence long-term saving?

    羅 鎧文, KINUGASA TOMOKO

    六甲フォーラム, Jun. 2018, Japanese, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Age Structure on Trade Openness by Geographic Region

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, Yukio Fukumoto

    Western Economic Association International, Jan. 2018, English, Newcastle Business School, University of Newcastle, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Age Structure on Trade Openness by Geographic Region

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    2nd KU-FTU Cooperation Symposium, Sep. 2017, English, 神戸大学, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • Does Demographic Change Influence International Trade?: An Empirical Study of APEC Economies

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    日中四大学シンポジウム, Dec. 2016, English, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • Age structure and trade openness: An empirical investigation

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Conference on Sustainable metropolis: Population, Productivty and Parity, Mar. 2016, English, Nanyang Technological University, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • 農業経済論(1)

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    六甲フォーラムサーベイレクチャー, 2016, English, Domestic conference

    Public discourse

  • The Effects of Demographic Change on International Trade: An Empirical Study in APEC

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    Development and Policy Seminar, Jan. 2016, Japanese, 兵庫県立大学経済学部, 兵庫県立大学, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • Does Demographic Change Influence International Trade? An Empirical Study in APEC

    KINUGASA TOMOKO

    The 1st International Conference on Applied Econometrics in Hawaii, Nov. 2015, English, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • Trade Openness and Demographic Change

    KINUGASA TOMOKO, FUKUMOTO YUKIO

    EWC Research Program's Brown-Bag Seminar, Aug. 2014, English, East-West Center, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • 農家の都市農村交流への意識に関する計量的研究―大阪府豊能郡能勢町の農家アンケートに基づいて―

    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu

    第62回地域農林経済学会大会, Oct. 2012, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 大阪経済大学, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 中山間地域の農業振興に関する一考察 ―能勢町農家の都市農村交流に対する意向の決定要因―

    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi, NAKAGAWA Masatsugu

    Workshop on Population and Food Economics / 六甲フォーラム, Oct. 2012, Japanese, 神戸大学経済学研究科, 神戸大学, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 討論:The Effect of Off-Farm Work on Farm Technical Efficiency in China

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    日本経済政策学会 第69回全国大会, May 2012, Japanese, 日本経済政策学会, 椙山女学園大学, Domestic conference

    Public symposium

  • 人口減少と日本経済

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    加西市議会議員勉強会, May 2012, Japanese, 兵庫県加西市, 加西市役所, Domestic conference

    Invited oral presentation

  • Demographic Dividends, Depopulation, and Agriculture in Japan: Simulation Analyses using Growth Rate Multipliers and Overlapping Generations Model

    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi

    日本経済政策学会 第69回全国大会, May 2012, English, 日本経済政策学会, 椙山女学園大学, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 2つの人口ボーナスと貯蓄および経済成長

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    日本大学人口研究所セミナー, Feb. 2012, Japanese, 日本大学, 日本大学, Domestic conference

    Invited oral presentation

  • 小麦の技術効率性とその地域間収束

    NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko

    地域農林経済学会第61回大会, Oct. 2011, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 松山市, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 地方自治体の人口規模と財政支出についての計量的研究

    OKADA Shuichi, KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi

    日本経済政策学会第68回全国大会, May 2011, Japanese, 日本経済政策学会, 東京都, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 日本における小麦の全要素生産性とその地域間収束

    NAKAGAWA Masatsugu, KINUGASA Tomoko

    地域農林経済学会第60回大会, Oct. 2010, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 京都市, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 中国畜産物生産の地域区分と技術効率性に関する計量的研究

    YAO Wanjun, KINUGASA Tomoko

    地域農林経済学会第60回大会, Oct. 2010, Japanese, 地域農林経済学会, 京都市, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 計量および数学ソフトを用いた人口と経済に関する教育

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    日本人口学会第62回大会, Jun. 2010, Japanese, 日本人口学会, 東京都, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • 討論:農林牧業の振興による日本農業の内需拡大策

    KINUGASA Tomoko

    日本経済政策学会第67回全国大会, May 2010, Japanese, 日本経済政策学会, 京都市, Domestic conference

    Others

  • Demographic Dividends, Depopulation, and Importance of Agriculture in Japan: the Past, the Present, and the Future

    KINUGASA Tomoko, YAMAGUCHI Mitoshi

    Population Association of America 2010 Annual Meeting, Apr. 2010, English, Population Association of America, Dallas, US, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • Why Nations Become Wealthy: The Effects of Adult Longevity on Saving

    Kinugasa Tomoko, Mason Andrew

    Seminar, Department of Economics, University of Hawaii, Oct. 2006, English, Department of Economics, University of Hawaii, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Adult Longevity on Retirement

    Kinugasa Tomoko, Lee Sang-Hyop

    Kobe COE Advanced Economic Study Series, Dec. 2005, English, Graduate School of Eonomics, Kobe University, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • Economic Growth of Regions and Demographic Characteristics: The Comparative Empirical Analysis of the Cases of Japan and China

    Kinugasa Tomoko, Huang Wei, Yamaguchi Mitoshi

    COE/JEPA Joint International Conference, Dec. 2005, English, 淡路夢舞台国際会議場, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • Demographic Change and Regional Growth in Japan and China: An Empirical Analysis

    Kinugasa Tomoko, Huang Wei, Yamaguchi Mitoshi

    Kobe COE Advanced Economic Study Series, Dec. 2005, English, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, International conference

    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Rapid Population Aging on Saving

    Kinugasa Tomoko

    関西大学セミナー, Nov. 2005, Japanese, Domestic conference

    Oral presentation

  • The Effects of Adult Longevity on Saving

    衣笠 智子

    The 2005 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Mar. 2005, English, 未記入, Philadelphia, USA, International conference

    Others

  • Adult Mortality Transition and National Saving

    衣笠 智子

    日本人口学会関西部会研究会, Dec. 2004, English, 日本人口学会関西部会, 西宮市大学交流センター, Domestic conference

    Others

  • East Asian Economic Development: Two Demographic Dividends

    衣笠 智子

    Conference on Miracles and Mirages in East Asian Economic Development, May 2004, English, 未記入, Honolulu, Hawaii, International conference

    Others

Association Memberships

  • 地域農林経済学会

  • 日本経済政策学会

  • 日本経済学会

  • 日本農業経済学会

  • 日本人口学会

  • Population Association of America

Research Projects